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Ekstraklasa
Referee: T Kwiatkowski
Cracovia
U T S S T
1–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cracovia Pogon Szczecin
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,7
This season — Ekstraklasa · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 50%
44%
56%
Points per game
1,4
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
22%
78%
Both score Ø 39%
11%
67%
Average goals
2,1
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
0,9
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

36% Possession 64%
13 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 3
2 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 6
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cracovia 8. · Pogon Szczecin 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Legia 10 6 2 2 +1 20
2 Rakow 9 6 1 2 +9 19
3 Wisla Plock 9 5 2 2 +10 17
4 Pogon Szczecin 9 5 2 2 +5 17
5 Widzew Lodz 10 5 1 4 +4 16
6 Radomiak Radom 10 4 2 4 -2 14
7 Jagiellonia 10 3 4 3 +3 13
8 Cracovia 9 4 1 4 +3 13
9 Slask Wroclaw 10 3 4 3 -4 13
10 Stal Mielec 10 4 1 5 -5 13
11 Lech Poznan 8 3 2 3 +1 11
12 Piast Gliwice 9 3 2 4 +0 11
13 Korona Kielce 9 3 2 4 +0 11
14 Warta Poznan 9 3 2 4 -3 11
15 Gornik Zabrze 8 2 4 2 +0 10
16 Zaglebie 9 2 4 3 -4 10
17 Legnica 9 1 2 6 -7 5
18 Lechia Gdansk 9 1 2 6 -11 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cracovia Pogon Szczecin
Half-time 0–0
62′
🔁 M. Kucharczyk
↦ Jean Carlos
P. Makuch 🔁
↦ M. Rakoczy
68′
70′
K. Grosicki 0–1
72′
🔁 K. Drygas
↦ M. Łęgowski
72′
🔁 V. Bichakhchyan
↦ S. Kowalczyk
1–1 B. Källman
73′
Y. Konoplyanka 🔁
↦ J. Myszor
78′
M. Sipľak 🔁
↦ P. Jaroszyński
78′
M. Hebo 🔁
↦ B. Källman
82′
86′
🔁 M. Fornalczyk
↦ L. Zahovič
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Cracovia

3-4-2-1
23 K. Niemczycki G
24 J. Jugas D
88 M. Rodin D
5 V. Ghiță D
25 O. Kakabadze M
18 T. Oshima M
22 F. Loshaj M
4 P. Jaroszyński M
38 J. Myszor F
11 M. Rakoczy F
9 B. Källman F
Bench (9)
71 P. Makuch
10 Y. Konoplyanka
3 M. Sipľak
8 M. Hebo
20 K. Knap
30 A. Wilk
2 C. Râpă
16 P. Kapek
85 D. Jablonský

Coach: J. Zieliński

Pogon Szczecin

4-1-4-1
1 D. Stipica G
2 J. Bartkowski D
13 K. Triantafyllopoulos D
23 B. Zech D
97 Luís Mata D
8 D. Dąbrowski M
21 Jean Carlos M
99 M. Łęgowski M
27 S. Kowalczyk M
11 K. Grosicki M
10 L. Zahovič F
Bench (9)
18 M. Kucharczyk
14 K. Drygas
22 V. Bichakhchyan
17 M. Fornalczyk
41 P. Stolarski
81 B. Klebaniuk
33 M. Malec
70 S. Wawrzynowicz
15 M. Wędrychowski

Coach: J. Gustafsson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

T Kwiatkowski · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.