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Serie B
Referee: L Maggioni
Reggina
S T S S S
3–0
Full-time
Cittadella
S T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Reggina Cittadella
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
0,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,3
This season — Serie B · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 60%
80%
40%
Points per game
2,4
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
60%
40%
Both score Ø 40%
20%
60%
Average goals
2,6
2,6
Scored
2,2
1,4
Conceded
0,4
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%
8 Shots 6
3 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
2 Corners 3
4 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 18
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Reggina 2. · Cittadella 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Brescia 6 5 0 1 +4 15
2 Reggina 5 4 0 1 +9 12
3 Cagliari 5 3 1 1 +3 10
4 Frosinone 5 3 0 2 +4 9
5 Bari 5 2 3 0 +3 9
6 Cittadella 5 2 2 1 +1 8
7 Spal 5 2 2 1 +1 8
8 Genoa 5 2 2 1 +1 8
9 Ascoli 5 2 2 1 +1 8
10 Cosenza 5 2 1 2 +0 7
11 Palermo 5 2 1 2 -1 7
12 Benevento 6 2 1 3 -1 7
13 Ternana 5 2 1 2 -2 7
14 Parma 5 1 3 1 +0 6
15 Sudtirol 5 2 0 3 -4 6
16 Venezia 5 1 1 3 -4 4
17 Perugia 5 1 1 3 -4 4
18 Modena 5 1 0 4 -2 3
19 Como 5 0 2 3 -5 2
20 Pisa 5 0 1 4 -4 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Reggina Cittadella
Giovanni Fabbian 🟨
15′
21′
🟨 Daniele Donnarumma
1–0 R. Gagliolo
Ž. Majer
22′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Mamadou Tounkara
↦ E. Baldini
46′
🔁 I. Lores
↦ N. Pavan
49′
🟨 Giuseppe Carriero
Lorenzo Crisetig 🟨
54′
57′
🔁 A. Vita
↦ G. Carriero
2–0 G. Fabbian
J. Ménez
58′
Giovanni Fabbian ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
59′
Hernani 🔁
↦ L. Crisetig
62′
D. Liotti 🔁
↦ G. Fabbian
63′
E. Cicerelli 🔁
↦ L. Canotto
68′
G. Gori 🔁
↦ J. Ménez
69′
77′
🔁 G. Beretta
↦ M. Antonucci
78′
🟨 Domenico Frare
M. Camporese 🔁
↦ R. Rivas
79′
81′
🔁 A. Magrassi
↦ Raúl Asencio
Riccardo Gagliolo 🟨
85′
85′
🟨 Mamadou Tounkara
3–0 G. Gori
N. Pierozzi
88′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Reggina

4-3-3
22 S. Colombi G
27 N. Pierozzi D
3 T. Cionek D
28 R. Gagliolo D
17 G. Di Chiara D
14 G. Fabbian M
8 L. Crisetig M
37 Ž. Majer M
31 L. Canotto F
7 J. Ménez F
99 R. Rivas F
Bench (12)
20 Hernani
94 D. Liotti
11 E. Cicerelli
9 G. Gori
23 M. Camporese
13 D. Bouah
1 F. Ravaglia
19 F. Santander
25 A. Lombardi
21 F. Ricci
98 F. Giraudo
6 G. Loiacono

Coach: F. Inzaghi

Cittadella

4-3-1-2
36 E. Kastrati G
84 T. Cassandro D
5 D. Del Fabro D
15 D. Frare D
17 D. Donnarumma D
20 G. Carriero M
26 N. Pavan M
23 S. Branca M
10 M. Antonucci M
90 Raúl Asencio F
92 E. Baldini F
Bench (12)
9 Mamadou Tounkara
30 I. Lores
16 A. Vita
11 G. Beretta
99 A. Magrassi
6 S. Visentin
2 R. Perticone
1 F. Manfrin
8 D. Mazzocco
77 L. Maniero
3 G. Felicioli
18 A. Mattioli

Coach: E. Gorini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,27
U
3,17
B
3,22
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,20
U2,5
1,65
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

L Maggioni · 17 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,35 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.