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LaLiga2
Referee: Oliver De La Fuente
Zaragoza
U U T T S
1–0
Full-time
Sp Gijon
U S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zaragoza Sp Gijon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,7
2,3
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
This season — LaLiga2 · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 30%
20%
40%
Points per game
1,0
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
40%
40%
Both score Ø 50%
40%
60%
Average goals
1,4
2,6
Scored
0,6
1,6
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%
10 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 4
1 Offside 3
8 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zaragoza 17. · Sp Gijon 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Granada 6 4 0 2 +3 12
2 Cartagena 6 4 0 2 +2 12
3 Las Palmas 5 3 2 0 +7 11
4 Alaves 5 3 2 0 +3 11
5 Eibar 6 3 1 2 +3 10
6 Albacete 5 3 1 1 +2 10
7 Villarreal B 6 3 1 2 +1 10
8 Andorra 6 3 1 2 -1 10
9 Levante 6 2 3 1 +4 9
10 Burgos 5 2 3 0 +2 9
11 Sp Gijon 5 2 2 1 +3 8
12 Oviedo 6 2 2 2 +0 8
13 Huesca 5 2 1 2 +2 7
14 Lugo 6 2 1 3 -2 7
15 Ibiza 6 2 1 3 -4 7
16 Ponferradina 5 2 0 3 -2 6
17 Zaragoza 5 1 2 2 -1 5
18 Tenerife 5 1 1 3 -3 4
19 Leganes 5 1 0 4 -3 3
20 Santander 5 1 0 4 -4 3
21 Malaga 5 1 0 4 -5 3
22 Mirandes 6 0 2 4 -7 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zaragoza Sp Gijon
34′
🟨 Pablo Insua
Half-time 1–0
1–0 Víctor Mollejo
Sergio Bermejo
51′
Víctor Mollejo ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
52′
65′
🔁 U. Milovanović
↦ U. Đurđević
66′
🔁 Dani Queipo
↦ Aitor García
68′
🟨 Pedro Díaz
72′
🔁 A. Bamba
↦ Pablo Ínsua
72′
🔁 Cristo González
↦ G. Zarfino
Miguel Puche 🔁
↦ Sergio Bermejo
76′
Francho Serrano 🔁
↦ Víctor Mollejo
76′
Gaizka Larrazabal 🔁
↦ V. Vada
77′
Fran Gámez 🟨
81′
Ivan Azón 🔁
↦ G. Simeone
83′
R. Petrović 🔁
↦ Manu Molina
89′
95′
🟨 Guille Rosas
Lluís López 🟨
98′
98′
🟨 Cristo González
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Zaragoza

4-4-2
1 C. Álvarez G
18 Fran Gámez D
24 Lluís López D
3 Jair Amador D
2 G. Fuentes D
10 Sergio Bermejo M
23 Manu Molina M
5 Jaume Grau M
28 Víctor Mollejo M
20 G. Simeone F
11 V. Vada F
Bench (12)
7 Miguel Puche
14 Francho Serrano
12 Gaizka Larrazabal
9 Ivan Azón
4 R. Petrović
15 J. Quinteros
8 Eugeni Valderrama
19 M. Gueye
21 Alberto Zapater
27 Marcos Luna
17 Carlos Nieto
13 Álvaro Ratón

Coach: Carcedo

Sp Gijon

4-2-3-1
13 Diego Mariño G
2 Guille Rosas D
4 Pablo Ínsua D
24 C. Izquierdoz D
32 Diego Sánchez D
8 Pedro Díaz M
6 José Gragera M
19 J. Otero M
18 G. Zarfino M
7 Aitor García M
23 U. Đurđević F
Bench (9)
21 U. Milovanović
30 Dani Queipo
15 A. Bamba
12 Cristo González
11 Víctor Campuzano
1 Iván Cuéllar
22 Pol Valentín
10 Nacho Méndez
20 J. Carrillo

Coach: Abelardo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,33
U
3,02
B
3,27
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,44
U2,5 ✓
1,53
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Oliver De La Fuente · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.