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Serie B
Referee: A Prontera
Ascoli
S U S U T
1–3
Full-time
Parma
U U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ascoli Parma
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,3
This season — Serie B · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 30%
40%
20%
Points per game
1,6
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
40%
60%
Both score Ø 60%
60%
60%
Average goals
2,2
3,2
Scored
1,2
1,6
Conceded
1,0
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

56% Possession 44%
16 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 0
3 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 16
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ascoli 9. · Parma 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Brescia 6 5 0 1 +4 15
2 Reggina 5 4 0 1 +9 12
3 Cagliari 5 3 1 1 +3 10
4 Frosinone 5 3 0 2 +4 9
5 Bari 5 2 3 0 +3 9
6 Cittadella 5 2 2 1 +1 8
7 Spal 5 2 2 1 +1 8
8 Genoa 5 2 2 1 +1 8
9 Ascoli 5 2 2 1 +1 8
10 Cosenza 5 2 1 2 +0 7
11 Palermo 5 2 1 2 -1 7
12 Benevento 6 2 1 3 -1 7
13 Ternana 5 2 1 2 -2 7
14 Parma 5 1 3 1 +0 6
15 Sudtirol 5 2 0 3 -4 6
16 Venezia 5 1 1 3 -4 4
17 Perugia 5 1 1 3 -4 4
18 Modena 5 1 0 4 -2 3
19 Como 5 0 2 3 -5 2
20 Pisa 5 0 1 4 -4 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ascoli Parma
7′
G. Tutino 0–1
18′
R. Inglese 0–2
D. Camara
20′
🟨 Franco Vázquez
Alessandro Salvi 🟨
28′
E. Guarna 🔁
↦ N. Baumann
29′
40′
🟨 Jayden Oosterwolde
Half-time 0–2
46′
🔁 A. Circati
↦ S. Romagnoli
54′
🔁 D. Man
↦ D. Camara
F. Dionisi 🔁
↦ C. Gondo
56′
C. Adjapong 🔁
↦ S. Giordano
56′
C. Lungoyi 🔁
↦ M. Falzerano
56′
59′
🔁 A. Hainaut
↦ G. Tutino
66′
D. Man 0–3
N. Estévez
71′
🔁 S. Sohm
↦ F. Vázquez
71′
🔁 A. Benedyczak
↦ R. Inglese
Pedro Mendes 🔁
↦ S. Bidaoui
74′
75′
🟨 Antoine Hainaut
Federico Dionisi 🟨
78′
1–3 C. Lungoyi
F. Dionisi
79′
Christophe Lungoyi 🟨
90′
Giuseppe Bellusci 🟨
91′
91′
🟨 Stanko Jurić
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Ascoli

4-3-3
46 N. Baumann G
2 A. Salvi D
33 Eric Botteghin D
55 G. Bellusci D
21 S. Giordano D
18 M. Collocolo M
77 M. Büchel M
8 F. Caligara M
23 M. Falzerano F
15 C. Gondo F
26 S. Bidaoui F
Bench (12)
13 E. Guarna
9 F. Dionisi
17 C. Adjapong
7 C. Lungoyi
90 Pedro Mendes
99 A. Fontana
32 S. Giovane
20 F. Donati
5 D. Quaranta
29 F. Palazzino
4 L. Šimić
27 M. Eramo

Coach: C. Bucchi

Parma

4-2-3-1
1 G. Buffon G
15 E. Del Prato D
5 S. Romagnoli D
30 L. Valenti D
17 J. Oosterwolde D
24 S. Jurić M
8 N. Estévez M
23 D. Camara M
10 F. Vázquez M
11 G. Tutino M
45 R. Inglese F
Bench (12)
39 A. Circati
98 D. Man
20 A. Hainaut
19 S. Sohm
7 A. Benedyczak
3 Y. Osorio
26 W. Coulibaly
4 B. Balogh
22 L. Chichizola
13 A. Bonny
40 E. Corvi
47 V. Zagaritis

Coach: F. Pecchia

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,07
U
3,18
B ✓
2,34
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,01
U2,5
1,78
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Prontera · 64 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.