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Eredivisie

Referee: E van de Graaf

Sparta Rotterdam

S U T T S

4–0

Full-time

Volendam

T U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sparta Rotterdam Volendam

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/5 matches

Win Ø 35%

50%

20%

Points per game

1,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

33%

80%

Both score Ø 57%

33%

80%

Average goals

2,2

4,6

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

0,8

3,4

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-2,2

This season — Eredivisie · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 25%

25%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

25%

75%

Both score Ø 50%

25%

75%

Average goals

1,8

4,5

Scored

0,8

1,3

Conceded

1,0

3,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

55% Possession 45%

15 Shots 18

9 Shots on target 6

4 Blocked shots 3

6 Goalkeeper saves 5

5 Corners 11

2 Offside 1

5 Free kicks against 0

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sparta Rotterdam 11. · Volendam 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	5	5	0	0	+13	15
2	PSV Eindhoven	5	4	0	1	+16	12
3	Twente	5	4	0	1	+8	12
4	Feyenoord	4	3	1	0	+8	10
5	AZ Alkmaar	4	3	1	0	+4	10
6	Heerenveen	4	2	2	0	+5	8
7	Excelsior	4	2	0	2	-5	6
8	Nijmegen	4	1	2	1	+2	5
9	Utrecht	5	1	2	2	-2	5
10	Groningen	4	1	2	1	-4	5
11	Sparta Rotterdam	4	1	1	2	-1	4
12	Cambuur	5	1	1	3	-4	4
13	FC Emmen	4	1	1	2	-6	4
14	Volendam	4	1	1	2	-8	4
15	Waalwijk	4	0	3	1	-1	3
16	Vitesse	4	0	1	3	-9	1
17	Go Ahead Eagles	4	0	0	4	-7	0
18	For Sittard	5	0	0	5	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Twente	3	3	0	0	+8	9
2	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+9	6
3	Ajax	2	2	0	0	+9	6
4	Feyenoord	2	1	1	0	+4	4
5	AZ Alkmaar	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	FC Emmen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Groningen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Heerenveen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Volendam	2	1	0	1	-2	3
10	Excelsior	2	1	0	1	-3	3
11	Waalwijk	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Nijmegen	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Utrecht	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	Vitesse	3	0	1	2	-7	1
15	Sparta Rotterdam	2	0	0	2	-2	0
16	Cambuur	2	0	0	2	-3	0
17	Go Ahead Eagles	2	0	0	2	-4	0
18	For Sittard	3	0	0	3	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	3	3	0	0	+4	9
2	PSV Eindhoven	3	2	0	1	+7	6
3	Feyenoord	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	AZ Alkmaar	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Heerenveen	2	1	1	0	+4	4
6	Nijmegen	2	1	1	0	+3	4
7	Sparta Rotterdam	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Utrecht	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Cambuur	3	1	1	1	-1	4
10	Twente	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Excelsior	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Waalwijk	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Groningen	2	0	1	1	-5	1
14	Volendam	2	0	1	1	-6	1
15	Vitesse	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Go Ahead Eagles	2	0	0	2	-3	0
17	For Sittard	2	0	0	2	-4	0
18	FC Emmen	2	0	0	2	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.