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Primeira Liga
Referee: Rui Costa
Santa Clara
T T T S T
1–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Santa Clara Pacos Ferreira
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,7
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
1,8
3,0
Scored
0,7
0,7
Conceded
1,2
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,7
This season — Primeira Liga · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,7
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
1,8
3,0
Scored
0,7
0,7
Conceded
1,2
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

41% Possession 59%
8 Shots 7
2 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 8
3 Offside 0
18 Free kicks against 16
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Santa Clara 15. · Pacos Ferreira 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Benfica 6 6 0 0 +11 18
2 Sp Braga 6 5 1 0 +16 16
3 Porto 6 5 0 1 +11 15
4 Portimonense 7 5 0 2 +2 15
5 Boavista 6 4 0 2 -1 12
6 Casa Pia 6 3 2 1 +3 11
7 Sp Lisbon 6 3 1 2 +4 10
8 Estoril 6 3 1 2 +3 10
9 Guimaraes 6 3 0 3 +0 9
10 Gil Vicente 6 2 2 2 -1 8
11 Chaves 7 2 2 3 -2 8
12 Arouca 6 2 1 3 -9 7
13 Vizela 6 1 2 3 -2 5
14 Rio Ave 6 1 2 3 -3 5
15 Santa Clara 6 1 1 4 -3 4
16 Famalicao 6 1 1 4 -6 4
17 Pacos Ferreira 6 0 0 6 -10 0
18 Maritimo 6 0 0 6 -13 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Santa Clara Pacos Ferreira
1–0 Gabriel Silva
Ricardinho
7′
Paulo Henrique 🟨
13′
Diogo Calila 🔁
↦ Paulo Henrique
21′
42′
🟨 Matchoi Djaló
Half-time 1–0
Anderson Carvalho 🔁
↦ Adriano
46′
46′
🔁 N. Thomas
↦ Zé Uilton
53′
Matchoi Djaló 1–1
K. Tagawa 🔁
↦ Matheus Babi
54′
57′
🟨 Nigel Thomas
Diogo Calila 🟨
63′
65′
🟨 Juan Delgado
67′
🔁 Fernando Fonseca
↦ N. Gaitán
Allano 🟨
72′
F. Stevanović 🔁
↦ Allano
77′
Paulo 🔁
↦ P. Sagna
77′
79′
🔁 N. Koffi
↦ Matchoi Djaló
84′
🔁 B. Toma
↦ A. Ibrahim
Anderson Carvalho 🟨
93′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Santa Clara

4-2-3-1
99 Marco Pereira G
95 P. Sagna D
4 K. Boateng D
17 C. Tassano D
16 Paulo Henrique D
20 Adriano M
80 Victor Bobsin M
49 Gabriel Silva M
10 Ricardinho M
7 Allano M
39 Matheus Babi F
Bench (9)
13 Diogo Calila
8 Anderson Carvalho
9 K. Tagawa
22 F. Stevanović
43 Paulo
12 Gabriel Batista
37 Rildo
32 MT
35 Pedro Bicalho

Coach: Mário Silva

Pacos Ferreira

4-2-3-1
98 I. Vekič G
15 J. Delgado D
23 E. Ferigra D
32 Flávio Ramos D
5 Antunes D
8 A. Ibrahim M
26 Rui Pires M
16 Matchoi Djaló M
10 N. Gaitán M
9 Zé Uilton M
17 Adrián Butzke F
Bench (9)
7 N. Thomas
29 Fernando Fonseca
19 N. Koffi
14 B. Toma
6 J. Holsgrove
3 Nuno Lima
11 Kayky
20 Luís Bastos
24 José Oliveira

Coach: César Peixoto

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,03
U ✓
3,25
B
3,90
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,20
U2,5 ✓
1,67
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Rui Costa · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
30,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.