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Serie A
Referee: M Volpi
Bologna
U T U U S
0–1
Full-time
Empoli
U U U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bologna Empoli
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,0
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,3
This season — Serie A · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,0
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

61% Possession 39%
16 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 8
4 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bologna 12. · Empoli 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Napoli 6 4 2 0 +9 14
2 Atalanta 6 4 2 0 +7 14
3 Milan 6 4 2 0 +6 14
4 Udinese 6 4 1 1 +6 13
5 Roma 6 4 1 1 +2 13
6 Inter 6 4 0 2 +4 12
7 Lazio 6 3 2 1 +4 11
8 Juventus 6 2 4 0 +5 10
9 Torino 6 3 1 2 +0 10
10 Salernitana 7 1 4 2 +2 7
11 Fiorentina 6 1 3 2 -1 6
12 Bologna 6 1 3 2 -2 6
13 Lecce 7 1 3 3 -2 6
14 Sassuolo 6 1 3 2 -4 6
15 Verona 6 1 2 3 -5 5
16 Spezia 6 1 2 3 -5 5
17 Empoli 6 0 4 2 -2 4
18 Cremonese 6 0 2 4 -5 2
19 Sampdoria 6 0 2 4 -8 2
20 Monza 6 0 1 5 -11 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bologna Empoli
Half-time 0–0
D. Kasius 🔁
↦ L. De Silvestri
57′
N. Domínguez 🔁
↦ R. Soriano
57′
58′
🔁 N. Cambiaghi
↦ M. Satriano
Andrea Cambiaso ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
61′
65′
🔁 L. Henderson
↦ N. Bajrami
65′
🔁 A. Grassi
↦ R. Marin
75′
F. Bandinelli 0–1
E. Vignato 🔁
↦ J. Schouten
79′
M. Aebischer 🔁
↦ G. Medel
79′
79′
🔁 J. Fazzini
↦ F. Bandinelli
80′
🔁 M. Pjaca
↦ N. Haas
J. Zirkzee 🔁
↦ R. Orsolini
88′
89′
🟨 Alberto Grassi
Denso Kasius 🟨
92′
92′
🟨 Liam Henderson
Nicolás Domínguez 🟨
95′
96′
🟨 Jacopo Fazzini
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Bologna

4-2-3-1
28 Ł. Skorupski G
29 L. De Silvestri D
3 S. Posch D
26 J. Lucumí D
50 A. Cambiaso D
17 G. Medel M
30 J. Schouten M
7 R. Orsolini M
21 R. Soriano M
99 M. Barrow M
9 M. Arnautović F
Bench (12)
33 D. Kasius
8 N. Domínguez
55 E. Vignato
20 M. Aebischer
11 J. Zirkzee
23 N. Bagnolini
1 F. Bardi
19 L. Ferguson
6 N. Moro
14 K. Bonifazi
22 C. Lykogiannis
4 J. Sosa

Coach: T. Motta

Empoli

4-3-1-2
13 G. Vicario G
30 P. Stojanović D
34 A. Ismajli D
33 S. Luperto D
65 F. Parisi D
32 N. Haas M
18 R. Marin M
25 F. Bandinelli M
10 N. Bajrami M
9 M. Satriano
7 S. Lammers F
Bench (12)
28 N. Cambiaghi
8 L. Henderson
5 A. Grassi
21 J. Fazzini
14 M. Pjaca
4 S. Walukiewicz
17 E. Ekong
20 D. Degli Innocenti
3 L. Cacace
22 S. Ujkani
6 K. De Winter
1 S. Perisan

Coach: P. Zanetti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,13
U
3,52
B ✓
3,42
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,88
U2,5 ✓
1,94
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Volpi · 41 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
31,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.