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Eredivisie
Referee: D Makkelie
Groningen
U T S T T
1–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Groningen Sparta Rotterdam
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
0,7
1,5
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,7
This season — Eredivisie · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 40%
45%
34%
Points per game
1,6
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
38%
38%
Both score Ø 45%
45%
45%
Average goals
2,2
3,0
Scored
1,1
1,4
Conceded
1,1
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

59% Possession 41%
11 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 5
1 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Groningen 7. · Sparta Rotterdam 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 30 24 4 2 +68 76
2 PSV Eindhoven 30 19 7 4 +35 64
3 AZ Alkmaar 31 19 7 5 +28 64
4 Vitesse 31 18 6 7 +19 60
5 Feyenoord 29 15 8 6 +28 53
6 Utrecht 29 13 9 7 +11 48
7 Groningen 29 13 6 10 +1 45
8 Heracles 31 12 6 13 -6 42
9 For Sittard 31 12 4 15 -6 40
10 Twente 31 9 10 12 -2 37
11 Heerenveen 30 9 10 11 -3 37
12 Sparta Rotterdam 29 10 6 13 -4 36
13 Zwolle 31 8 11 12 -7 35
14 Waalwijk 31 6 8 17 -20 26
15 Willem II 31 6 7 18 -30 25
16 FC Emmen 30 5 9 16 -26 24
17 VVV Venlo 31 6 4 21 -42 22
18 Den Haag 31 3 10 18 -44 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Groningen Sparta Rotterdam
27′
A. Harroui 0–1
A. Meijers
37′
🟨 Aaron Meijers
Half-time 0–1
D. van Kaam 🔁
↦ W. Dammers
46′
56′
T. Beugelsdijk 0–2
Mo El Hankouri 🟨
58′
A. Robben 🔁
↦ P. Joosten
60′
R. Lundqvist 🔁
↦ J. Larsen
61′
P. Abraham 🔁
↦ B. van Hintum
61′
73′
🔁 R. Kharchouch
↦ M. Engels
D. Dankerlui 🔁
↦ T. Suslov
82′
83′
🔁 D. Duarte
↦ L. Duarte
1–2 R. Lundqvist
87′
89′
🔁 E. Emegha
↦ B. Smeets
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Groningen

4-2-3-1
1 S. Padt G
3 B. van Hintum D
32 M. te Wierik D
4 W. Dammers D
5 K. Itakura D
18 A. El Messaoudi M
6 A. Matusiwa M
14 P. Joosten M
11 M. El Hankouri M
9 J. Larsen F
31 T. Suslov M
Bench (9)
26 D. van Kaam
10 A. Robben
7 R. Lundqvist
19 P. Abraham
2 D. Dankerlui
25 J. de Boer
23 P. Bråtveit
37 T. Dallinga
17 Migue Leal

Coach: D. Buijs

Sparta Rotterdam

4-2-3-1
1 M. Okoye G
5 A. Meijers D
3 T. Beugelsdijk D
2 D. Abels D
4 A. Auassar D
10 B. Smeets M
6 L. Duarte M
8 A. Harroui M
7 S. Mijnans M
9 L. Thy F
11 M. Engels M
Bench (10)
17 R. Kharchouch
16 D. Duarte
19 E. Emegha
12 D. Vianello
15 M. Pinto
30 M. Fabrie
20 B. van Leer
13 B. Vriends
18 W. Burger
14 M. Heylen

Coach: H. Fraser

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,28
U
3,33
B ✓
3,12
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,04
U2,5
1,77
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Makkelie · 193 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.