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Eredivisie

Referee: E van de Graaf

For Sittard

T T T T U

1–0

Full-time

Excelsior

S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

For Sittard Excelsior

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

4,2

4,5

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

2,8

Goal diff per game

-1,5

-1,2

This season — Eredivisie · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

4,2

4,5

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

2,8

Goal diff per game

-1,5

-1,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

41% Possession 59%

13 Shots 14

4 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

1 Corners 5

3 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 9

4 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match For Sittard 18. · Excelsior 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	6	6	0	0	+18	18
2	Feyenoord	6	5	1	0	+12	16
3	PSV Eindhoven	6	5	0	1	+17	15
4	AZ Alkmaar	6	4	2	0	+7	14
5	Twente	6	4	1	1	+8	13
6	Sparta Rotterdam	7	3	1	3	+1	10
7	Waalwijk	7	2	3	2	+5	9
8	Heerenveen	6	2	3	1	+0	9
9	Utrecht	7	2	3	2	-1	9
10	Excelsior	6	3	0	3	-7	9
11	Nijmegen	7	1	5	1	+2	8
12	Groningen	7	2	2	3	-5	8
13	Vitesse	7	1	2	4	-9	5
14	Volendam	7	1	2	4	-13	5
15	Cambuur	7	1	1	5	-9	4
16	FC Emmen	6	1	1	4	-10	4
17	Go Ahead Eagles	6	1	0	5	-7	3
18	For Sittard	6	0	1	5	-9	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	3	3	0	0	+14	9
2	PSV Eindhoven	3	3	0	0	+10	9
3	Twente	3	3	0	0	+8	9
4	Feyenoord	3	2	1	0	+7	7
5	Waalwijk	4	2	1	1	+6	7
6	Sparta Rotterdam	4	2	0	2	+3	6
7	Excelsior	3	2	0	1	-2	6
8	AZ Alkmaar	3	1	2	0	+2	5
9	Heerenveen	3	1	2	0	+1	5
10	Utrecht	4	1	2	1	-1	5
11	Groningen	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	FC Emmen	3	1	1	1	-2	4
13	Volendam	3	1	0	2	-3	3
14	Nijmegen	3	0	2	1	-1	2
15	Vitesse	4	0	2	2	-7	2
16	Cambuur	3	0	0	3	-4	0
17	For Sittard	3	0	0	3	-5	0
18	Go Ahead Eagles	3	0	0	3	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	AZ Alkmaar	3	3	0	0	+5	9
3	Ajax	3	3	0	0	+4	9
4	PSV Eindhoven	3	2	0	1	+7	6
5	Nijmegen	4	1	3	0	+3	6
6	Utrecht	3	1	1	1	+0	4
7	Twente	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Heerenveen	3	1	1	1	-1	4
9	Sparta Rotterdam	3	1	1	1	-2	4
10	Cambuur	4	1	1	2	-5	4
11	Groningen	4	1	1	2	-5	4
12	Go Ahead Eagles	3	1	0	2	-2	3
13	Vitesse	3	1	0	2	-2	3
14	Excelsior	3	1	0	2	-5	3
15	Waalwijk	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Volendam	4	0	2	2	-10	2
17	For Sittard	3	0	1	2	-4	1
18	FC Emmen	3	0	0	3	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.