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Ligue 1

Referee: J Stinat

Montpellier

T S S T T

2–1

Full-time

Strasbourg

U T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Montpellier Strasbourg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

4,3

1,5

Scored

2,3

0,7

Conceded

2,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,2

This season — Ligue 1 · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 22%

43%

Points per game

1,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

86%

14%

Both score Ø 71%

71%

Average goals

4,4

1,7

Scored

2,4

0,7

Conceded

2,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%

10 Shots 8

4 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

8 Corners 6

3 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 20

4 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Montpellier 10. · Strasbourg 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	7	6	1	0	+21	19
2	Marseille	7	6	1	0	+11	19
3	Lorient	8	6	1	1	+5	19
4	Lens	7	5	2	0	+9	17
5	Lyon	7	4	1	2	+7	13
6	Rennes	7	3	2	2	+6	11
7	Monaco	7	3	2	2	-2	11
8	Lille	7	3	1	3	-1	10
9	Clermont	7	3	1	3	-2	10
10	Montpellier	7	3	0	4	+3	9
11	Toulouse	7	2	2	3	-3	8
12	Nice	7	2	2	3	-3	8
13	Troyes	7	2	1	4	-4	7
14	Auxerre	8	2	1	5	-11	7
15	Nantes	7	1	3	3	-3	6
16	Reims	7	1	3	3	-4	6
17	Strasbourg	7	0	5	2	-2	5
18	Brest	7	1	2	4	-9	5
19	Angers	7	1	2	4	-10	5
20	Ajaccio	7	0	1	6	-8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lyon	4	4	0	0	+10	12
2	Lens	4	4	0	0	+6	12
3	Marseille	4	4	0	0	+6	12
4	Rennes	4	3	0	1	+7	9
5	Lorient	3	3	0	0	+4	9
6	Paris SG	3	2	1	0	+4	7
7	Montpellier	4	2	0	2	+0	6
8	Clermont	3	2	0	1	-2	6
9	Toulouse	4	1	2	1	-2	5
10	Nantes	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	Troyes	3	1	1	1	-1	4
12	Angers	4	1	1	2	-3	4
13	Auxerre	4	1	1	2	-3	4
14	Monaco	4	1	1	2	-4	4
15	Strasbourg	4	0	3	1	-1	3
16	Lille	3	1	0	2	-4	3
17	Reims	3	0	2	1	-2	2
18	Brest	3	0	2	1	-7	2
19	Nice	3	0	1	2	-4	1
20	Ajaccio	4	0	1	3	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	4	4	0	0	+17	12
2	Lorient	5	3	1	1	+1	10
3	Marseille	3	2	1	0	+5	7
4	Lille	4	2	1	1	+3	7
5	Monaco	3	2	1	0	+2	7
6	Nice	4	2	1	1	+1	7
7	Lens	3	1	2	0	+3	5
8	Clermont	4	1	1	2	+0	4
9	Reims	4	1	1	2	-2	4
10	Montpellier	3	1	0	2	+3	3
11	Toulouse	3	1	0	2	-1	3
12	Brest	4	1	0	3	-2	3
13	Troyes	4	1	0	3	-3	3
14	Auxerre	4	1	0	3	-8	3
15	Rennes	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Strasbourg	3	0	2	1	-1	2
17	Nantes	4	0	2	2	-2	2
18	Lyon	3	0	1	2	-3	1
19	Angers	3	0	1	2	-7	1
20	Ajaccio	3	0	0	3	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.