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La Liga

Referee: Antonio Mateu

Ath Bilbao

U S S T S

3–2

Full-time

Vallecano

U S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Vallecano

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

2,0

2,7

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

0,5

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,3

This season — La Liga · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 50%

60%

40%

Points per game

2,0

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

40%

Both score Ø 30%

20%

40%

Average goals

2,2

2,0

Scored

1,8

1,0

Conceded

0,4

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,4

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

39% Possession 61%

14 Shots 11

7 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 4

2 Corners 7

3 Offside 3

13 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Bilbao 6. · Vallecano 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	6	5	1	0	+17	16
2	Real Madrid	5	5	0	0	+10	15
3	Betis	5	4	0	1	+5	12
4	Osasuna	5	4	0	1	+4	12
5	Villarreal	5	3	1	1	+8	10
6	Ath Bilbao	5	3	1	1	+7	10
7	Ath Madrid	5	3	1	1	+5	10
8	Valencia	6	3	0	3	+5	9
9	Mallorca	6	2	2	2	-1	8
10	Girona	5	2	1	2	+1	7
11	Vallecano	5	2	1	2	+0	7
12	Sociedad	5	2	1	2	-2	7
13	Celta	6	2	1	3	-5	7
14	Almeria	6	1	1	4	-3	4
15	Espanol	5	1	1	3	-4	4
16	Sevilla	5	1	1	3	-4	4
17	Getafe	5	1	1	3	-8	4
18	Valladolid	6	1	1	4	-8	4
19	Cadiz	6	1	0	5	-13	3
20	Elche	6	0	1	5	-14	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Valencia	4	3	0	1	+7	9
2	Betis	3	3	0	0	+5	9
3	Osasuna	3	3	0	0	+4	9
4	Barcelona	3	2	1	0	+7	7
5	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	+4	6
6	Girona	3	2	0	1	+2	6
7	Celta	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Mallorca	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Ath Bilbao	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Getafe	3	1	1	1	-2	4
11	Villarreal	1	1	0	0	+4	3
12	Ath Madrid	2	1	0	1	+1	3
13	Almeria	3	1	0	2	-1	3
14	Vallecano	2	1	0	1	-1	3
15	Valladolid	3	1	0	2	-3	3
16	Sociedad	2	0	1	1	-3	1
17	Sevilla	2	0	1	1	-3	1
18	Elche	3	0	1	2	-4	1
19	Espanol	3	0	0	3	-5	0
20	Cadiz	3	0	0	3	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	3	3	0	0	+10	9
2	Real Madrid	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Ath Madrid	3	2	1	0	+4	7
4	Villarreal	4	2	1	1	+4	7
5	Ath Bilbao	2	2	0	0	+7	6
6	Sociedad	3	2	0	1	+1	6
7	Espanol	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Vallecano	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	Mallorca	3	1	1	1	-1	4
10	Betis	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Osasuna	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Sevilla	3	1	0	2	-1	3
13	Cadiz	3	1	0	2	-4	3
14	Celta	3	1	0	2	-5	3
15	Girona	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Almeria	3	0	1	2	-2	1
17	Valladolid	3	0	1	2	-5	1
18	Valencia	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Getafe	2	0	0	2	-6	0
20	Elche	3	0	0	3	-10	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.