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La Liga

Referee: Pablo González

Valencia

S T T S T

3–0

Full-time

Celta

U T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valencia Celta

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,3

3,3

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

0,8

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,7

This season — La Liga · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 40%

40%

Points per game

1,2

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

40%

80%

Both score Ø 50%

40%

60%

Average goals

2,4

3,6

Scored

1,4

1,6

Conceded

1,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

66% Possession 34%

14 Shots 6

7 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 4

2 Offside 0

18 Free kicks against 23

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Valencia 13. · Celta 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	6	5	1	0	+17	16
2	Real Madrid	5	5	0	0	+10	15
3	Betis	5	4	0	1	+5	12
4	Osasuna	5	4	0	1	+4	12
5	Villarreal	5	3	1	1	+8	10
6	Ath Bilbao	5	3	1	1	+7	10
7	Ath Madrid	5	3	1	1	+5	10
8	Mallorca	6	2	2	2	-1	8
9	Girona	5	2	1	2	+1	7
10	Vallecano	5	2	1	2	+0	7
11	Celta	5	2	1	2	-2	7
12	Sociedad	5	2	1	2	-2	7
13	Valencia	5	2	0	3	+2	6
14	Almeria	6	1	1	4	-3	4
15	Espanol	5	1	1	3	-4	4
16	Sevilla	5	1	1	3	-4	4
17	Getafe	5	1	1	3	-8	4
18	Valladolid	6	1	1	4	-8	4
19	Cadiz	6	1	0	5	-13	3
20	Elche	6	0	1	5	-14	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Betis	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Osasuna	3	3	0	0	+4	9
3	Barcelona	3	2	1	0	+7	7
4	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Valencia	3	2	0	1	+4	6
6	Girona	3	2	0	1	+2	6
7	Celta	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Mallorca	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Ath Bilbao	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Getafe	3	1	1	1	-2	4
11	Villarreal	1	1	0	0	+4	3
12	Ath Madrid	2	1	0	1	+1	3
13	Almeria	3	1	0	2	-1	3
14	Vallecano	2	1	0	1	-1	3
15	Valladolid	3	1	0	2	-3	3
16	Sociedad	2	0	1	1	-3	1
17	Sevilla	2	0	1	1	-3	1
18	Elche	3	0	1	2	-4	1
19	Espanol	3	0	0	3	-5	0
20	Cadiz	3	0	0	3	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	3	3	0	0	+10	9
2	Real Madrid	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Ath Madrid	3	2	1	0	+4	7
4	Villarreal	4	2	1	1	+4	7
5	Ath Bilbao	2	2	0	0	+7	6
6	Sociedad	3	2	0	1	+1	6
7	Espanol	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Vallecano	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	Mallorca	3	1	1	1	-1	4
10	Betis	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Osasuna	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Sevilla	3	1	0	2	-1	3
13	Celta	2	1	0	1	-2	3
14	Cadiz	3	1	0	2	-4	3
15	Girona	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Almeria	3	0	1	2	-2	1
17	Valladolid	3	0	1	2	-5	1
18	Valencia	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Getafe	2	0	0	2	-6	0
20	Elche	3	0	0	3	-10	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.