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Premiership
Referee: D Dickinson
Hibernian
U T U T S
3–1
Full-time
Aberdeen
S T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hibernian Aberdeen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
3,3
Scored
1,0
2,2
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,0
This season — Premiership · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
3,3
Scored
1,0
2,2
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

65% Possession 35%
25 Shots 5
8 Shots on target 1
6 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
10 Corners 2
2 Offside 1
19 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Hibernian 8. · Aberdeen 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 6 6 0 0 +24 18
2 Rangers 6 4 1 1 +7 13
3 Aberdeen 6 3 1 2 +6 10
4 Hearts 6 3 1 2 +2 10
5 Motherwell 6 3 1 2 +1 10
6 St Mirren 6 3 0 3 -2 9
7 Livingston 6 3 0 3 -4 9
8 Hibernian 6 2 2 2 +0 8
9 ST Johnstone 7 2 1 4 -3 7
10 Ross County 7 1 2 4 -7 5
11 Kilmarnock 6 1 1 4 -8 4
12 Dundee United 6 0 2 4 -16 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hibernian Aberdeen
4′
Duk 0–1
H. Coulson
27′
🟨 Anthony Stewart
Nohan Kenneh 🟨
40′
43′
🟨 Liam Scales
44′
🟨 Liam Scales
44′
🟥 Liam Scales
Half-time 1–1
1–1 M. Boyle
46′
47′
🔁 D. Polvara
↦ Duk
48′
🟨 Bojan Miovski
55′
🔁 J. MacKenzie
↦ H. Coulson
J. Doyle-Hayes 🔁
↦ N. Kenneh
60′
2–1 J. Campbell
C. Cadden
62′
Jair Tavares 🔁
↦ É. Youan
72′
3–1 J. Campbell
M. Kukharevych
73′
78′
🔁 S. Morris
↦ V. Besuijen
78′
🔁 M. Watkins
↦ J. Richardson
Jake Doyle Hayes 🟨
79′
E. Henderson 🔁
↦ J. Campbell
85′
M. Bojang 🔁
↦ M. Kukharevych
86′
89′
🟨 Jonny Hayes
91′
🟨 Ross McCrorie
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Hibernian

4-2-3-1
1 D. Marshall G
12 C. Cadden D
5 R. Porteous D
4 P. Hanlon D
3 M. Čabraja D
11 J. Newell M
6 N. Kenneh M
77 M. Boyle M
32 J. Campbell M
23 É. Youan M
99 M. Kukharevych F
Bench (9)
8 J. Doyle-Hayes
10 Jair Tavares
18 E. Henderson
17 M. Bojang
25 W. Fish
16 L. Stevenson
2 L. Miller
13 R. Schofield
24 D. McGregor

Coach: L. Johnson

Aberdeen

4-4-2
24 K. Roos G
25 J. Richardson D
5 A. Stewart D
4 L. Scales D
22 H. Coulson D
10 V. Besuijen M
16 Y. Ramadani M
2 R. McCrorie M
17 J. Hayes M
9 B. Miovski F
11 Duk F
Bench (9)
21 D. Polvara
3 J. MacKenzie
7 S. Morris
15 M. Watkins
28 J. Milne
99 C. Ramírez
23 R. Duncan
1 J. Lewis
33 M. Kennedy

Coach: B. Robson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,31
U
3,18
B
3,18
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,20
U2,5
1,65
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Dickinson · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.