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2. Bundesliga
Referee: C Dingert
Darmstadt
S S U U U
2–0
Full-time
Nurnberg
T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Darmstadt Nurnberg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,3
2,5
Scored
2,2
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,8
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 44%
50%
38%
Points per game
1,9
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
63%
50%
Both score Ø 51%
63%
38%
Average goals
3,1
2,8
Scored
1,9
1,1
Conceded
1,3
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

38% Possession 62%
6 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 1
0 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 3
2 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Darmstadt 5. · Nurnberg 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paderborn 8 6 1 1 +16 19
2 Hamburg 8 6 0 2 +7 18
3 Hannover 9 5 2 2 +5 17
4 Heidenheim 8 4 3 1 +7 15
5 Darmstadt 8 4 3 1 +5 15
6 Fortuna Dusseldorf 8 4 2 2 +6 14
7 Kaiserslautern 8 3 4 1 +3 13
8 Holstein Kiel 8 3 3 2 -1 12
9 Karlsruhe 9 3 2 4 +1 11
10 St Pauli 8 2 4 2 +1 10
11 Nurnberg 8 3 1 4 -4 10
12 Hansa Rostock 8 3 0 5 -6 9
13 Sandhausen 9 2 2 5 -3 8
14 Braunschweig 9 2 2 5 -9 8
15 Regensburg 8 2 2 4 -9 8
16 Magdeburg 8 2 1 5 -8 7
17 Bielefeld 8 1 2 5 -5 5
18 Greuther Furth 8 0 4 4 -6 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Darmstadt Nurnberg
1–0 T. Kempe
B. Manu
8′
2–0 P. Tietz
T. Kempe
27′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 J. Geis
↦ S. Fofana
46′
🔁 C. Daferner
↦ J. Castrop
58′
🟨 Erik Wekesser
60′
🟨 Enrico Valentini
67′
🔁 M. Wintzheimer
↦ F. Lohkemper
70′
🟨 Johannes Geis
A. Seydel 🔁
↦ P. Tietz
72′
M. Warming 🔁
↦ B. Manu
72′
E. Karic 🔁
↦ M. Mehlem
72′
82′
🔁 J. Gyamerah
↦ E. Valentini
82′
🔁 E. Shuranov
↦ K. Duah
Y. Ben Balla 🔁
↦ F. Schnellhardt
85′
C. Zimmermann 🔁
↦ T. Kempe
89′
Frank Ronstadt 🟨
92′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Darmstadt

3-4-1-2
1 M. Schuhen G
5 P. Pfeiffer D
23 K. Gjasula D
20 J. Müller D
17 F. Ronstadt M
11 T. Kempe M
8 F. Schnellhardt M
32 F. Holland M
6 M. Mehlem F
7 B. Manu F
9 P. Tietz F
Bench (9)
22 A. Seydel
14 M. Warming
19 E. Karic
28 Y. Ben Balla
4 C. Zimmermann
3 T. Isherwood
18 M. Honsak
30 A. Brunst
38 C. Riedel

Coach: T. Lieberknecht

Nurnberg

4-2-3-1
26 C. Mathenia G
22 E. Valentini D
16 C. Schindler D
4 J. Lawrence D
13 E. Wekesser D
3 S. Fofana M
6 L. Tempelmann M
17 J. Castrop M
10 M. Dæhli M
7 F. Lohkemper M
23 K. Duah F
Bench (9)
5 J. Geis
33 C. Daferner
18 M. Wintzheimer
28 J. Gyamerah
11 E. Shuranov
35 N. Brown
1 C. Klaus
37 N. Jahn
32 L. Breunig

Coach: R. Klauß

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,66
U
4,09
B
4,63
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,57
U2,5 ✓
2,38
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

C Dingert · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.