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Superligaen
Referee: Aydin Uslu
Aarhus
S T S T T
3–1
Full-time
Aalborg
U S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aarhus Aalborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,0
Scored
2,3
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,0
This season — Superligaen · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 33%
44%
22%
Points per game
1,4
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
44%
44%
Both score Ø 50%
44%
56%
Average goals
2,2
2,1
Scored
1,2
0,9
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%
19 Shots 5
9 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
6 Corners 1
1 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aarhus 6. · Aalborg 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Nordsjaelland 10 6 2 2 +6 20
2 Randers FC 9 5 4 0 +7 19
3 Viborg 9 6 0 3 +4 18
4 Silkeborg 9 5 1 3 +5 16
5 Horsens 10 4 2 4 -1 14
6 Aarhus 9 4 1 4 +2 13
7 FC Copenhagen 9 4 0 5 +1 12
8 Midtjylland 9 2 4 3 +0 10
9 Brondby 9 3 1 5 -5 10
10 Odense 9 3 1 5 -7 10
11 Aalborg 9 2 3 4 -3 9
12 Lyngby 9 0 3 6 -9 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aarhus Aalborg
20′
🟨 Louka Prip
Half-time 1–0
1–0 P. Mortensen
Kevin Yakob
52′
2–0 P. Mortensen
Kevin Yakob
64′
65′
🔁 O. Ross
↦ L. Andersen
65′
🔁 J. Ahlmann
↦ A. Poulsen
T. Mølgaard 🔁
↦ E. Kahl
68′
G. Links 🔁
↦ A. DAlberto
68′
3–0 Kevin Yakob
72′
Nicolai Poulsen 🟨
74′
S. Grønning 🔁
↦ S. Haugen
75′
F. Brandhof 🔁
↦ Kevin Yakob
75′
75′
🔁 J. Pedersen
↦ Y. Bakiz
76′
J. Pedersen 3–1
J. Duin 🔁
↦ P. Mortensen
85′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Aarhus

3-5-2
1 J. Hansen G
23 T. Thiesson Kristensen D
5 F. Tingager D
4 Y. Aurel Bisseck D
26 A. D'Alberto M
17 Kevin Yakob M
6 N. Poulsen M
8 M. Anderson M
19 E. Kahl M
9 P. Mortensen F
10 S. Haugen F
Bench (9)
14 T. Mølgaard
11 G. Links
27 S. Grønning
29 F. Brandhof
18 J. Duin
37 S. Hausner
16 P. Kristian Bråtveit
22 B. Hvidt
13 A. Munksgaard

Coach: U. Rösler

Aalborg

4-5-1
1 J. Posavec G
32 K. Ludewig D
2 K. Pallesen D
4 L. Kramer D
25 A. Poulsen D
7 Allan Sousa M
8 I. Fossum M
14 M. Højholt M
18 L. Prip M
23 Y. Bakiz M
10 L. Andersen F
Bench (9)
38 O. Ross
3 J. Ahlmann
28 J. Pedersen
22 T. Sander
19 A. Ementa
31 A. Noshe
34 S. Otoa
30 F. Isaki
36 S. Stahlfest

Coach: E. Hamrén

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Aydin Uslu · 22 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.