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2. Bundesliga

Referee: S Jablonski

Hamburg

S T S S S

2–0

Full-time

Fortuna Dusseldorf

U U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamburg Fortuna Dusseldorf

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,3

3,3

Scored

1,7

2,0

Conceded

0,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,7

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 63%

75%

50%

Points per game

2,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

25%

88%

Both score Ø 50%

25%

75%

Average goals

2,1

3,3

Scored

1,5

2,0

Conceded

0,6

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,9

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

53% Possession 47%

19 Shots 4

10 Shots on target 0

1 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 6

8 Corners 3

2 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hamburg 3. · Fortuna Dusseldorf 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paderborn	8	6	1	1	+16	19
2	Darmstadt	9	5	3	1	+7	18
3	Hamburg	8	6	0	2	+7	18
4	Hannover	9	5	2	2	+5	17
5	Heidenheim	8	4	3	1	+7	15
6	Fortuna Dusseldorf	8	4	2	2	+6	14
7	Kaiserslautern	8	3	4	1	+3	13
8	Holstein Kiel	9	3	3	3	-3	12
9	Hansa Rostock	9	4	0	5	-4	12
10	Karlsruhe	9	3	2	4	+1	11
11	St Pauli	8	2	4	2	+1	10
12	Nurnberg	9	3	1	5	-6	10
13	Bielefeld	9	2	2	5	-3	8
14	Sandhausen	9	2	2	5	-3	8
15	Braunschweig	9	2	2	5	-9	8
16	Regensburg	8	2	2	4	-9	8
17	Magdeburg	9	2	1	6	-10	7
18	Greuther Furth	8	0	4	4	-6	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paderborn	5	5	0	0	+16	15
2	Darmstadt	5	3	2	0	+7	11
3	Fortuna Dusseldorf	4	3	1	0	+7	10
4	Hansa Rostock	5	3	0	2	+3	9
5	St Pauli	4	2	2	0	+4	8
6	Hannover	4	2	2	0	+2	8
7	Kaiserslautern	5	2	2	1	+1	8
8	Heidenheim	3	2	1	0	+4	7
9	Holstein Kiel	4	2	1	1	+3	7
10	Karlsruhe	4	2	1	1	+2	7
11	Braunschweig	5	2	1	2	+0	7
12	Sandhausen	5	2	1	2	+0	7
13	Bielefeld	4	2	0	2	+0	6
14	Hamburg	4	2	0	2	+0	6
15	Nurnberg	4	2	0	2	-2	6
16	Regensburg	4	1	2	1	-4	5
17	Greuther Furth	4	0	3	1	-2	3
18	Magdeburg	4	1	0	3	-5	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	4	4	0	0	+7	12
2	Hannover	5	3	0	2	+3	9
3	Heidenheim	5	2	2	1	+3	8
4	Darmstadt	4	2	1	1	+0	7
5	Kaiserslautern	3	1	2	0	+2	5
6	Holstein Kiel	5	1	2	2	-6	5
7	Paderborn	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Karlsruhe	5	1	1	3	-1	4
9	Fortuna Dusseldorf	4	1	1	2	-1	4
10	Nurnberg	5	1	1	3	-4	4
11	Magdeburg	5	1	1	3	-5	4
12	Regensburg	4	1	0	3	-5	3
13	Hansa Rostock	4	1	0	3	-7	3
14	St Pauli	4	0	2	2	-3	2
15	Bielefeld	5	0	2	3	-3	2
16	Sandhausen	4	0	1	3	-3	1
17	Greuther Furth	4	0	1	3	-4	1
18	Braunschweig	4	0	1	3	-9	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.