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Premier League
Referee: S Hooper
Tottenham
S U S S T
6–2
Full-time
Leicester
T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tottenham Leicester
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,2
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,0
3,3
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
0,7
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-1,3
This season — Premier League · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,3
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,8
4,0
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
0,8
2,7
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

44% Possession 56%
16 Shots 19
11 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 1
1 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Tottenham 3. · Leicester 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Man City 7 5 2 0 +17 17
2 Arsenal 6 5 0 1 +7 15
3 Tottenham 6 4 2 0 +7 14
4 Brighton 6 4 1 1 +6 13
5 Man United 6 4 0 2 +0 12
6 Fulham 7 3 2 2 +1 11
7 Chelsea 6 3 1 2 -1 10
8 Liverpool 6 2 3 1 +9 9
9 Brentford 6 2 3 1 +6 9
10 Newcastle 7 1 5 1 +1 8
11 Leeds 6 2 2 2 +0 8
12 Bournemouth 7 2 2 3 -13 8
13 Southampton 7 2 1 4 -4 7
14 Aston Villa 7 2 1 4 -4 7
15 Crystal Palace 6 1 3 2 -2 6
16 Wolves 7 1 3 3 -4 6
17 Everton 6 0 4 2 -2 4
18 West Ham 6 1 1 4 -5 4
19 Nott'm Forest 7 1 1 5 -11 4
20 Leicester 6 0 1 5 -8 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Tottenham Leicester
Ivan Perišić 🟨
-5′
6′
ℹ️ Youri Tielemans
VAR: Penalty confirmed
6′
Y. Tielemans 0–1
1–1 H. Kane
D. Kulusevski
8′
2–1 E. Dier
I. Perišić
21′
41′
J. Maddison 2–2
T. Castagne
Half-time 3–2
3–2 R. Bentancur
47′
49′
🟨 Wilfred Ndidi
Emerson 🔁
↦ I. Perišić
55′
C. Romero 🔁
↦ D. Sánchez
59′
Son Heung-Min 🔁
↦ Richarlison
59′
60′
🟨 Patson Daka
Y. Bissouma 🔁
↦ D. Kulusevski
70′
4–2 Son Heung-Min
R. Bentancur
73′
74′
🔁 J. Vardy
↦ P. Daka
74′
🔁 K. Ịheanachọ
↦ K. Dewsbury-Hall
5–2 Son Heung-Min
H. Kane
84′
85′
🔁 B. Soumaré
↦ W. Ndidi
6–2 Son Heung-Min
P. Højbjerg
86′
Heung-min Son ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
87′
Full-time 6–2

Line-ups

Tottenham

3-4-2-1
1 H. Lloris G
6 D. Sánchez D
15 E. Dier D
34 C. Lenglet D
14 I. Perišić M
5 P. Højbjerg M
30 R. Bentancur M
19 R. Sessegnon M
21 D. Kulusevski F
9 Richarlison F
10 H. Kane F
Bench (9)
12 Emerson
17 C. Romero
7 Son Heung-Min
38 Y. Bissouma
25 J. Tanganga
2 M. Doherty
11 Bryan Gil
20 F. Forster
4 O. Skipp

Coach: A. Conte

Leicester

4-1-4-1
1 D. Ward G
27 T. Castagne D
6 J. Evans D
3 W. Faes D
2 J. Justin D
25 W. Ndidi M
10 J. Maddison M
8 Y. Tielemans M
22 K. Dewsbury-Hall M
7 H. Barnes M
20 P. Daka F
Bench (9)
9 J. Vardy
14 K. Ịheanachọ
42 B. Soumaré
18 D. Amartey
33 L. Thomas
17 Ayoze Pérez
26 D. Praet
31 D. Iversen
11 M. Albrighton

Coach: B. Rodgers

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,49
U
4,59
B
6,70
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,59
U2,5
2,39
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Hooper · 168 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.