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Eredivisie
Referee: E Blank
Vitesse
T T U S T
1–1
Full-time
Volendam
T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vitesse Volendam
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,5
4,5
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
2,5
3,3
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-2,2
This season — Eredivisie · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,5
4,5
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
2,5
3,3
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-2,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

63% Possession 37%
17 Shots 11
9 Shots on target 6
5 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 8
11 Corners 3
3 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Vitesse 14. · Volendam 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 6 6 0 0 +18 18
2 Feyenoord 6 5 1 0 +12 16
3 PSV Eindhoven 6 5 0 1 +17 15
4 AZ Alkmaar 6 4 2 0 +7 14
5 Twente 6 4 1 1 +8 13
6 Sparta Rotterdam 7 3 1 3 +1 10
7 Heerenveen 6 2 3 1 +0 9
8 Utrecht 7 2 3 2 -1 9
9 Excelsior 6 3 0 3 -7 9
10 Nijmegen 7 1 5 1 +2 8
11 Groningen 7 2 2 3 -5 8
12 Waalwijk 6 1 3 2 +1 6
13 Cambuur 6 1 1 4 -5 4
14 Vitesse 6 1 1 4 -9 4
15 FC Emmen 6 1 1 4 -10 4
16 Volendam 6 1 1 4 -13 4
17 Go Ahead Eagles 6 1 0 5 -7 3
18 For Sittard 6 0 1 5 -9 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Vitesse Volendam
21′
R. Mühren 0–1
37′
🔁 A. Douiri
↦ B. Plat
Half-time 1–1
1–1 B. Białek
K. Kozłowski
48′
Bartosz Białek 🟨
62′
62′
🟨 Filip Stanković
64′
🔁 I. El Kadiri
↦ D. van Mieghem
64′
🔁 H. Veerman
↦ B. Ould-Chikh
M. Manhoef 🔁
↦ K. Kozłowski
71′
N. Frederiksen 🔁
↦ G. Vidović
76′
Enzo Cornelisse 🟨
78′
R. Yapi 🔁
↦ B. Białek
85′
T. Buitink 🔁
↦ E. Cornelisse
85′
87′
🔁 W. Ould-Chikh
↦ G. Oristanio
87′
🔁 O. Buur
↦ R. Mühren
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Vitesse

16 K. Scherpen G
2 C. Arcus D
3 R. Flamingo D
20 M. Meulensteen D
13 E. Cornelisse D
32 M. Wittek D
21 M. Bero M
8 S. Tronstad M
17 K. Kozłowski M
10 G. Vidović M
14 B. Białek F
Bench (10)
42 M. Manhoef
11 N. Frederiksen
27 R. Yapi
29 T. Buitink
9 M. Sankoh
5 Ferro
18 T. Hájek
22 T. Domgjoni
33 D. Reiziger
24 J. Houwen

Volendam

4-3-3
1 F. Stanković G
3 B. Plat D
31 X. Mbuyamba D
6 B. Benamar D
5 D. Murkin D
10 G. Oristanio M
4 D. Mirani M
8 C. Eiting M
11 B. Ould-Chikh F
21 R. Mühren F
7 D. van Mieghem F
Bench (9)
24 A. Douiri
34 I. El Kadiri
9 H. Veerman
33 W. Ould-Chikh
2 O. Buur
16 I. Nazih
25 L. Zeefuik
15 D. James
22 B. Lauwers

Coach: W. Jonk

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,46
U ✓
4,87
B
6,03
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,40
U2,5 ✓
2,86
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

E Blank · 56 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.