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Serie B
Referee: D Rutella
Como
U U T T T
3–3
Full-time
Spal
T U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Como Spal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
0,7
1,5
Conceded
2,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+0,3
This season — Serie B · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 20%
0%
40%
Points per game
0,4
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 30%
20%
40%
Both score Ø 50%
40%
60%
Average goals
2,2
2,6
Scored
0,6
1,4
Conceded
1,6
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

37% Possession 63%
13 Shots 18
6 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 6
2 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 15
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Como 19. · Spal 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Brescia 6 5 0 1 +4 15
2 Reggina 5 4 0 1 +9 12
3 Cagliari 5 3 1 1 +3 10
4 Frosinone 5 3 0 2 +4 9
5 Bari 5 2 3 0 +3 9
6 Cittadella 5 2 2 1 +1 8
7 Spal 5 2 2 1 +1 8
8 Genoa 5 2 2 1 +1 8
9 Ascoli 5 2 2 1 +1 8
10 Cosenza 5 2 1 2 +0 7
11 Palermo 5 2 1 2 -1 7
12 Benevento 6 2 1 3 -1 7
13 Ternana 5 2 1 2 -2 7
14 Parma 5 1 3 1 +0 6
15 Sudtirol 5 2 0 3 -4 6
16 Venezia 5 1 1 3 -4 4
17 Perugia 5 1 1 3 -4 4
18 Modena 5 1 0 4 -2 3
19 Como 5 0 2 3 -5 2
20 Pisa 5 0 1 4 -4 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Como Spal
-5′
🟨 Andrea La Mantia
8′
F. Maistro 0–1
G. Moncini
1–1 P. Cutrone
L. Mancuso
12′
Patrick Cutrone 🟨
18′
23′
🔁 P. Peda
↦ M. Varnier
35′
🟨 Alessandro Tripaldelli
41′
🟨 Gabriele Moncini
Paolo Faragò 🟨
43′
Half-time 2–1
2–1 P. Cutrone
Cesc Fàbregas
46′
51′
🟨 Federico Proia
59′
G. Moncini 2–2
A. Tripaldelli
63′
🔁 M. Finotto
↦ A. La Mantia
63′
🔁 N. Zanellato
↦ F. Maistro
67′
🔁 R. Celia
↦ A. Tripaldelli
M. Chajia 🔁
↦ P. Cutrone
68′
E. Celeghin 🔁
↦ P. Faragò
69′
3–2 N. Ioannou
M. Chajia
72′
Cesc Fàbregas 🟨
74′
F. Scaglia 🔁
↦ Cesc Fàbregas
76′
A. Cerri 🔁
↦ L. Mancuso
76′
T. Arrigoni 🔁
↦ D. Baselli
82′
86′
🟨 Niccolò Zanellato
Álex Blanco 🟨
93′
93′
S. Esposito 3–3
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Como

4-2-2-2
1 S. Ghidotti G
28 L. Vignali D
26 C. Odenthal D
2 L. Binks D
44 N. Ioannou D
4 Cesc Fàbregas M
10 D. Baselli M
8 P. Faragò M
19 Álex Blanco M
77 L. Mancuso F
63 P. Cutrone F
Bench (12)
7 M. Chajia
24 E. Celeghin
23 F. Scaglia
27 A. Cerri
21 T. Arrigoni
16 M. Solini
6 A. Iovine
9 A. Gabrielloni
99 M. Vigorito
3 A. Cagnano
11 V. Parigini
33 F. Delli Carri

Coach: M. Guidetti

Spal

4-3-1-2
1 E. Alfonso G
24 L. Dickmann D
13 M. Varnier D
6 B. Meccariello D
3 A. Tripaldelli D
8 F. Proia M
5 S. Esposito M
16 L. Valzania M
37 F. Maistro M
19 A. La Mantia F
9 G. Moncini F
Bench (12)
27 P. Peda
11 M. Finotto
10 N. Zanellato
21 R. Celia
14 F. Zuculini
40 G. Tunjov
20 M. Prati
32 N. Rauti
22 D. Thiam
2 A. Fiordaliso
99 S. Rabbi
29 A. Almici

Coach: R. Venturato

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,34
U ✓
3,34
B
2,93
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,91
U2,5
1,86
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Rutella · 44 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.