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Eredivisie

Referee: J Manschot

Groningen

S T T T T

1–2

Full-time

Sparta Rotterdam

T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Groningen Sparta Rotterdam

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

4,0

2,2

Scored

1,7

0,7

Conceded

2,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,8

This season — Eredivisie · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 23%

29%

16%

Points per game

1,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

45%

39%

Both score Ø 55%

65%

45%

Average goals

2,7

2,2

Scored

1,2

0,7

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

65% Possession 35%

17 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

8 Corners 2

1 Offside 0

8 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Groningen 8. · Sparta Rotterdam 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	31	25	3	3	+74	78
2	PSV Eindhoven	31	24	2	5	+42	74
3	Feyenoord	31	21	4	6	+42	67
4	Twente	32	18	8	6	+14	62
5	AZ Alkmaar	27	15	4	8	+17	49
6	Utrecht	30	12	9	9	+9	45
7	Vitesse	27	13	3	11	-8	42
8	Groningen	31	9	9	13	-9	36
9	Go Ahead Eagles	31	10	6	15	-10	36
10	Heerenveen	29	9	8	12	-8	35
11	Nijmegen	31	9	8	14	-13	35
12	Cambuur	32	10	5	17	-18	35
13	Heracles	32	9	7	16	-12	34
14	Waalwijk	32	7	11	14	-15	32
15	For Sittard	32	9	5	18	-31	32
16	Willem II	32	8	5	19	-28	29
17	Zwolle	32	7	6	19	-23	27
18	Sparta Rotterdam	31	5	11	15	-23	26

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	16	13	1	2	+49	40
2	PSV Eindhoven	16	13	0	3	+26	39
3	Feyenoord	15	11	2	2	+23	35
4	Twente	16	9	5	2	+12	32
5	AZ Alkmaar	13	9	2	2	+15	29
6	Utrecht	15	8	4	3	+12	28
7	Heracles	16	7	5	4	+3	26
8	Go Ahead Eagles	16	7	1	8	+2	22
9	Willem II	16	6	3	7	-5	21
10	For Sittard	16	6	2	8	-10	20
11	Groningen	15	4	6	5	-1	18
12	Heerenveen	15	5	3	7	-3	18
13	Waalwijk	16	5	3	8	-10	18
14	Cambuur	16	5	2	9	-6	17
15	Sparta Rotterdam	16	3	7	6	-7	16
16	Vitesse	13	5	1	7	-9	16
17	Zwolle	16	3	5	8	-6	14
18	Nijmegen	15	2	5	8	-9	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	15	12	2	1	+25	38
2	PSV Eindhoven	15	11	2	2	+16	35
3	Feyenoord	16	10	2	4	+19	32
4	Twente	16	9	3	4	+2	30
5	Vitesse	14	8	2	4	+1	26
6	Nijmegen	16	7	3	6	-4	24
7	AZ Alkmaar	14	6	2	6	+2	20
8	Groningen	16	5	3	8	-8	18
9	Cambuur	16	5	3	8	-12	18
10	Utrecht	15	4	5	6	-3	17
11	Heerenveen	14	4	5	5	-5	17
12	Waalwijk	16	2	8	6	-5	14
13	Go Ahead Eagles	15	3	5	7	-12	14
14	Zwolle	16	4	1	11	-17	13
15	For Sittard	16	3	3	10	-21	12
16	Sparta Rotterdam	15	2	4	9	-16	10
17	Heracles	16	2	2	12	-15	8
18	Willem II	16	2	2	12	-23	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.