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Ligue 2
Referee: H Ben El Hadj
Bordeaux
U T S S T
2–1
Full-time
Dijon
S S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bordeaux Dijon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
0,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,5
This season — Ligue 2 · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 44%
50%
38%
Points per game
1,8
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
38%
50%
Both score Ø 32%
13%
50%
Average goals
1,9
2,3
Scored
1,4
1,0
Conceded
0,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,9
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

51% Possession 49%
15 Shots 12
7 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 2
1 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bordeaux 4. · Dijon 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sochaux 8 5 1 2 +10 16
2 Le Havre 8 4 3 1 +9 15
3 Caen 8 4 3 1 +6 15
4 Bordeaux 8 4 2 2 +7 14
5 Amiens 8 4 2 2 +0 14
6 Guingamp 7 4 1 2 +5 13
7 Valenciennes 8 3 4 1 +1 13
8 Metz 8 3 2 3 +3 11
9 Dijon 8 3 2 3 -2 11
10 St Etienne 8 2 4 2 +0 10
11 Paris FC 8 2 4 2 -1 10
12 Bastia 8 3 1 4 -4 10
13 Annecy 8 2 3 3 +0 9
14 Grenoble 8 2 3 3 -3 9
15 Nimes 8 2 2 4 -2 8
16 Laval 8 2 1 5 -5 7
17 Quevilly Rouen 8 1 4 3 -5 7
18 Niort 8 2 1 5 -7 7
19 Pau FC 8 1 4 3 -7 7
20 Rodez 7 1 3 3 -5 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bordeaux Dijon
1–0 J. Maja
8′
Danylo Ignatenko 🟨
11′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 V. Jacob
↦ W. Nassi Ouled Bentle
Dilane Bakwa 🟨
52′
C. Michelin 🔁
↦ S. Gregersen
67′
67′
🔁 L. Deaux
↦ J. Marié
68′
🔁 I. Camara
↦ B. Soumaré
71′
M. Le Bihan 1–1
V. Jacob
I. Sissokho 🔁
↦ T. Lacoux
76′
A. Badji 🔁
↦ Fransérgio
77′
79′
🟨 Valentin Jacob
81′
🔁 M. Ahlinvi
↦ M. Le Bihan
E. Depussay 🔁
↦ Y. Barbet
86′
M. De Lima 🔁
↦ D. Bakwa
86′
86′
🔁 R. Assalé
↦ L. Tchaouna
2–1 Z. Davitashvili
A. Badji
87′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Bordeaux

4-3-3
16 G. Poussin G
4 M. Bokele D
2 S. Gregersen D
5 Y. Barbet D
14 V. N'Simba D
6 D. Ignatenko M
27 T. Lacoux M
13 Fransérgio M
30 Z. Davitashvili F
11 J. Maja F
7 D. Bakwa F
Bench (7)
34 C. Michelin
8 I. Sissokho
10 A. Badji
26 E. Depussay
81 M. De Lima
31 R. Strączek
17 L. Pirringuel

Coach: D. Guion

Dijon

4-2-3-1
30 B. Reynet G
27 C. Traoré D
4 R. Benchaa D
5 S. Coulibaly D
12 A. Fofana D
20 D. Ndong M
14 J. Marié M
9 L. Tchaouna M
28 B. Soumaré M
22 W. Nassi Ouled Bentle M
8 M. Le Bihan F
Bench (7)
11 V. Jacob
88 L. Deaux
18 I. Camara
6 M. Ahlinvi
77 R. Assalé
16 S. Allagbé
25 J. Pi

Coach: O. Daf

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,00
U
3,37
B
3,70
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,09
U2,5
1,71
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

H Ben El Hadj · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.