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Serie B

Referee: L Zufferli

Genoa

S U S U T

1–0

Full-time

Modena

T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genoa Modena

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,7

3,2

Scored

1,5

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,2

This season — Serie B · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 30%

40%

20%

Points per game

1,6

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

40%

60%

Both score Ø 50%

40%

60%

Average goals

2,2

2,8

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,0

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

65% Possession 35%

12 Shots 8

5 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 2

2 Offside 2

17 Free kicks against 24

1 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Genoa 8. · Modena 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Reggina	6	5	0	1	+12	15
2	Brescia	6	5	0	1	+4	15
3	Frosinone	6	4	0	2	+5	12
4	Bari	6	3	3	0	+4	12
5	Cagliari	6	3	1	2	+2	10
6	Parma	6	2	3	1	+2	9
7	Spal	6	2	3	1	+1	9
8	Genoa	5	2	2	1	+1	8
9	Cosenza	6	2	2	2	+0	8
10	Ascoli	6	2	2	2	-1	8
11	Cittadella	6	2	2	2	-2	8
12	Benevento	6	2	1	3	-1	7
13	Ternana	5	2	1	2	-2	7
14	Palermo	6	2	1	3	-2	7
15	Sudtirol	6	2	1	3	-4	7
16	Venezia	6	1	2	3	-4	5
17	Perugia	5	1	1	3	-4	4
18	Modena	5	1	0	4	-2	3
19	Como	6	0	3	3	-5	3
20	Pisa	6	0	2	4	-4	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Reggina	3	3	0	0	+10	9
2	Frosinone	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Brescia	3	3	0	0	+4	9
4	Cittadella	3	2	1	0	+2	7
5	Palermo	3	2	0	1	+2	6
6	Spal	3	2	0	1	+1	6
7	Cagliari	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Ascoli	4	1	2	1	-1	5
9	Ternana	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Parma	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Sudtirol	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Perugia	3	1	1	1	-1	4
13	Modena	3	1	0	2	+0	3
14	Cosenza	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Benevento	3	1	0	2	-2	3
16	Genoa	2	0	2	0	+0	2
17	Bari	2	0	2	0	+0	2
18	Como	4	0	2	2	-3	2
19	Pisa	3	0	1	2	-2	1
20	Venezia	3	0	1	2	-3	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bari	4	3	1	0	+4	10
2	Reggina	3	2	0	1	+2	6
3	Genoa	3	2	0	1	+1	6
4	Brescia	3	2	0	1	+0	6
5	Parma	3	1	2	0	+2	5
6	Cosenza	4	1	2	1	+0	5
7	Cagliari	3	1	1	1	+1	4
8	Benevento	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	Venezia	3	1	1	1	-1	4
10	Spal	3	0	3	0	+0	3
11	Ascoli	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Frosinone	3	1	0	2	-1	3
13	Ternana	3	1	0	2	-3	3
14	Sudtirol	3	1	0	2	-4	3
15	Pisa	3	0	1	2	-2	1
16	Como	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Cittadella	3	0	1	2	-4	1
18	Palermo	3	0	1	2	-4	1
19	Modena	2	0	0	2	-2	0
20	Perugia	2	0	0	2	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.