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Eredivisie
Referee: B Nijhuis
Ajax
S U S U S
6–1
Full-time
Groningen
T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax Groningen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,3
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,7
3,3
Scored
2,7
1,0
Conceded
1,0
2,3
Goal diff per game
+1,7
-1,3
This season — Eredivisie · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
5,0
4,0
Scored
3,0
2,0
Conceded
2,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

69% Possession 31%
24 Shots 4
11 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 3
4 Offside 2
4 Free kicks against 6
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ajax 6. · Groningen 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 2 2 0 0 +6 6
2 Excelsior 2 2 0 0 +4 6
3 Feyenoord 2 1 1 0 +3 4
4 Nijmegen 2 1 0 1 +2 3
5 AZ Alkmaar 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Ajax 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Twente 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Waalwijk 2 0 2 0 +0 2
9 Utrecht 2 0 2 0 +0 2
10 Heerenveen 2 0 2 0 +0 2
11 Groningen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Sparta Rotterdam 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Cambuur 2 0 1 1 -2 1
14 Volendam 2 0 1 1 -3 1
15 FC Emmen 2 0 1 1 -3 1
16 For Sittard 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Vitesse 2 0 0 2 -5 0
18 Go Ahead Eagles 2 0 0 2 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ajax Groningen
1–0 S. Bergwijn
D. Rensch
4′
10′
C. Ngonge 1–1
J. Strand Larsen
2–1 Antony
E. Álvarez
28′
Dušan Tadić 🟨
30′
3–1 S. Bergwijn
Antony
45′
Half-time 3–1
46′
🔁 P. Abraham
↦ R. Lundqvist
46′
🔁 R. Oratmangoen
↦ T. Suslov
4–1 S. Bergwijn
D. Tadić
57′
62′
🔁 P. Joosten
↦ C. Ngonge
5–1 K. Taylor
B. Brobbey
66′
D. Klaassen 🔁
↦ K. Taylor
69′
L. Lucca 🔁
↦ B. Brobbey
69′
S. Berghuis 🔁
↦ S. Bergwijn
70′
79′
🔁 L. Valente
↦ L. Duarte
M. Kudus 🔁
↦ D. Tadić
84′
P. Schuurs 🔁
↦ D. Rensch
84′
Steven Berghuis ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
87′
6–1 S. Berghuis
88′
92′
🔁 L. van Gelderen
↦ N. Kasanwirjo
Full-time 6–1

Line-ups

Ajax

4-3-3
22 R. Pasveer G
15 D. Rensch D
2 J. Timber D
17 D. Blind D
5 O. Wijndal D
10 D. Tadić M
4 E. Álvarez M
8 K. Taylor M
11 Antony F
9 B. Brobbey F
7 S. Bergwijn F
Bench (10)
6 D. Klaassen
18 L. Lucca
23 S. Berghuis
20 M. Kudus
3 P. Schuurs
16 J. Gorter
25 Y. Baas
1 M. Stekelenburg
12 S. Klaiber
29 L. Magallán

Coach: A. Schreuder

Groningen

4-5-1
20 M. Verrips G
21 N. Kasanwirjo D
5 M. te Wierik D
12 R. Balker D
18 I. Määttä D
27 C. Ngonge M
22 R. Lundqvist M
4 J. Pelupessy M
6 L. Duarte M
7 T. Suslov M
9 J. Strand Larsen F
Bench (12)
11 P. Abraham
34 R. Oratmangoen
37 P. Joosten
40 L. Valente
19 L. van Gelderen
10 D. Irandust
2 D. Dankerlui
15 Y. Kalley
1 P. Leeuwenburgh
25 J. de Boer
29 R. Postema
17 W. Dammers

Coach: F. Wormuth

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,16
U
7,97
B
14,63
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,32
U2,5
3,32
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Nijhuis · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
15,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.