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Süper Lig

Referee: S Arslanboğa

Ümraniyespor

T T T T U

1–2

Full-time

Kasimpasa

T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ümraniyespor Kasimpasa

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

2,0

3,2

Scored

0,7

0,8

Conceded

1,3

2,3

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-1,5

This season — Süper Lig · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

2,0

3,2

Scored

0,7

0,8

Conceded

1,3

2,3

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

51% Possession 49%

20 Shots 13

7 Shots on target 5

5 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 6

11 Corners 5

1 Offside 0

14 Free kicks against 16

4 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ümraniyespor 17. · Kasimpasa 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Galatasaray	7	5	1	1	+4	16
2	Konyaspor	7	4	2	1	+6	14
3	Buyuksehyr	5	4	1	0	+9	13
4	Besiktas	6	4	1	1	+6	13
5	Ad. Demirspor	6	4	1	1	+4	13
6	Kayserispor	7	4	0	3	+4	12
7	Gaziantep	6	3	2	1	+4	11
8	Fenerbahce	5	3	1	1	+9	10
9	Trabzonspor	6	3	1	2	+0	10
10	Alanyaspor	6	2	2	2	+0	8
11	Giresunspor	6	2	1	3	-3	7
12	Antalyaspor	6	2	0	4	-3	6
13	Kasimpasa	6	2	0	4	-9	6
14	Karagumruk	5	1	2	2	-2	5
15	Sivasspor	6	0	4	2	-5	4
16	İstanbulspor	5	1	1	3	-6	4
17	Ümraniyespor	6	0	2	4	-4	2
18	Ankaragücü	5	0	1	4	-6	1
19	Hatayspor	6	0	1	5	-8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Buyuksehyr	3	3	0	0	+8	9
2	Besiktas	4	3	0	1	+5	9
3	Ad. Demirspor	3	3	0	0	+5	9
4	Kayserispor	3	3	0	0	+5	9
5	Fenerbahce	3	2	1	0	+4	7
6	Gaziantep	3	2	1	0	+4	7
7	Konyaspor	3	2	1	0	+2	7
8	Galatasaray	3	2	0	1	+1	6
9	Karagumruk	3	1	1	1	+1	4
10	Trabzonspor	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	Alanyaspor	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Sivasspor	4	0	4	0	+0	4
13	Antalyaspor	3	1	0	2	+0	3
14	Giresunspor	3	1	0	2	-1	3
15	Kasimpasa	3	1	0	2	-6	3
16	Ankaragücü	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Hatayspor	3	0	1	2	-5	1
18	Ümraniyespor	3	0	0	3	-3	0
19	İstanbulspor	2	0	0	2	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Galatasaray	4	3	1	0	+3	10
2	Konyaspor	4	2	1	1	+4	7
3	Trabzonspor	4	2	0	2	-1	6
4	Besiktas	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Buyuksehyr	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Alanyaspor	3	1	1	1	+0	4
7	Gaziantep	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	İstanbulspor	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Ad. Demirspor	3	1	1	1	-1	4
10	Giresunspor	3	1	1	1	-2	4
11	Fenerbahce	2	1	0	1	+5	3
12	Kayserispor	4	1	0	3	-1	3
13	Antalyaspor	3	1	0	2	-3	3
14	Kasimpasa	3	1	0	2	-3	3
15	Ümraniyespor	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Karagumruk	2	0	1	1	-3	1
17	Hatayspor	3	0	0	3	-3	0
18	Ankaragücü	3	0	0	3	-5	0
19	Sivasspor	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.