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La Liga
Referee: Alejandro Muñiz Ruiz
Villarreal
S S S S S
2–0
Full-time
Oviedo
S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Villarreal Oviedo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 84%
100%
67%
Points per game
3,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,7
2,3
Scored
2,7
1,5
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,44 xG 0,93
68% Possession 32%
25 Shots 5
10 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 8
10 Corners 1
0 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1

Match report

Villarreal Oviedo
Luiz Júnior 🟨
13′
18′
🟨 Alberto Reina
27′
🟨 Alberto Reina
27′
🟥 Alberto Reina
1–0 Etta Eyong ⚽
29′
2–0 P. Gueye ⚽
N. Pepe
36′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 Marco Esteban
↦ H. Hassan
T. Buchanan 🔁
↦ G. Moreno
47′
63′
🔁 F. Vinas
↦ S. Rondon
D. Parejo 🔁
↦ P. Gueye
70′
A. Moleiro 🔁
↦ J. Foyth
70′
77′
🔁 B. Sanchez
↦ L. Ilic
77′
🔁 O. Falah
↦ I. Chaira
T. Partey 🔁
↦ S. Comesana
82′
A. Pedraza 🔁
↦ N. Pepe
82′
85′
🔁 S. Cazorla
↦ R. Alhassane
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Villarreal

4-4-2
1 Luiz Junior G
15 S. Mourino D
8 J. Foyth D
4 R. Marin D
23 S. Cardona D
19 N. Pepe M
14 S. Comesana M
18 P. Gueye M
21 Y. Pino M
7 G. Moreno F
29 Etta Eyong F
Bench (12)
31 R. Gomez
6 D. Suarez
10 D. Parejo
11 I. Akhomach
12 A. Altimira
16 T. Partey
17 T. Buchanan
20 A. Moleiro
24 A. Pedraza
26 P. Navarro
27 J. Valou
33 P. Cabanes

Coach: Marcelino García Toral

Oviedo

4-2-3-1
13 A. Escandell G
22 N. Vidal D
15 O. Luengo D
12 D. Calvo D
3 R. Alhassane D
6 K. Sibo M
5 A. Reina M
10 H. Hassan M
21 L. Ilic M
7 I. Chaira M
23 S. Rondon F
Bench (12)
1 H. Moldovan
26 M. Narvaez
8 S. Cazorla
9 F. Vinas
14 O. Ejaria
16 B. Sanchez
17 B. Domingues
27 A. Cardero
28 L. Gueye
29 O. Falah
30 Marco Esteban
31 C. Pereda

Coach: Veljko Paunović

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,38
🔒
U
4,74
🔒
B
8,11
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
1,84
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,92
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Alejandro Muñiz Ruiz · 26 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.