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La Liga
Referee: Jose Luis Guzman Mansilla
Mallorca
S T T U T
1–1
Full-time
Celta
S S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mallorca Celta
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,2
3,2
Scored
0,7
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
0,0
0,0
Conceded
3,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-3,0
-2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,68 xG 0,74
50% Possession 50%
12 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mallorca 20. · Celta 18.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Betis 2 1 1 0 +1 +2.0 4
2 Barcelona 1 1 0 0 +3 +1.9 3
3 Vallecano 1 1 0 0 +2 +2.9 3
4 Getafe 1 1 0 0 +2 +0.7 3
5 Villarreal 1 1 0 0 +2 +1.5 3
6 Ath Bilbao 1 1 0 0 +1 +1.9 3
7 Espanol 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.2 3
8 Real Madrid 1 1 0 0 +1 +1.3 3
9 Alaves 2 1 0 1 +0 -0.4 3
10 Valencia 1 0 1 0 +0 +1.2 1
11 Sociedad 1 0 1 0 +0 -1.2 1
12 Elche 1 0 1 0 +0 -1.2 1
13 Sevilla 1 0 0 1 -1 -1.9 0
14 Levante 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.4 0
15 Ath Madrid 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.2 0
16 Osasuna 1 0 0 1 -1 -1.3 0
17 Girona 1 0 0 1 -2 -2.9 0
18 Celta 1 0 0 1 -2 -0.7 0
19 Oviedo 1 0 0 1 -2 -1.5 0
20 Mallorca 1 0 0 1 -3 -1.9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mallorca Celta
-5′
🟨 Iago Aspas
Antonio Sánchez 🟨
14′
38′
J. Rueda 0–1
H. Sotelo
Half-time 0–1
M. Kumbulla 🔁
↦ A. Sanchez
46′
Takuma Asano 🟨
51′
Omar Mascarell 🟨
55′
63′
🔁 J. Rodriguez
↦ M. Fernandez
63′
🔁 W. Swedberg
↦ I. Aspas
M. Domenech 🔁
↦ T. Asano
68′
A. Prats 🔁
↦ M. Joseph
68′
D. Rodriguez 🔁
↦ O. Mascarell
68′
71′
🟨 Hugo Sotelo
73′
🔁 F. Beltran
↦ H. Sotelo
73′
🔁 B. Iglesias
↦ F. Jutgla
74′
🟨 Carlos Domínguez
J. Salas 🔁
↦ P. Torre
82′
1–1 M. Morey Bauza
88′
90′
🔁 B. Zaragoza
↦ P. Duran
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Mallorca

4-2-3-1
1 L. Roman G
2 M. Morey Bauza D
24 M. Valjent D
21 A. Raillo D
22 J. Mojica D
6 A. Sanchez M
5 O. Mascarell M
11 T. Asano M
20 P. Torre M
10 S. Darder M
18 M. Joseph F
Bench (12)
13 Pichu Cuellar
31 L. Bergstrom
27 D. Lopez
4 M. Kumbulla
3 T. Lato
30 M. Domenech
9 A. Prats
19 J. Llabres
14 D. Rodriguez
26 I. Salhi
28 J. Salas
29 D. Luna

Coach: Jagoba Arrasate Elustondo

Celta

3-4-2-1
13 I. Radu G
12 M. Fernandez D
24 C. Dominguez D
20 M. Alonso D
17 J. Rueda M
22 H. Sotelo M
6 I. Moriba M
5 S. Carreira M
10 I. Aspas F
9 F. Jutgla F
18 P. Duran F
Bench (12)
39 J. El Abdellaoui
3 O. Mingueza
8 F. Beltran
32 J. Rodriguez
15 B. Zaragoza
16 M. Roman
1 I. Villar
29 Y. Lago
7 B. Iglesias
19 W. Swedberg
21 M. Ristic
14 D. Rodriguez

Coach: Claudio Giráldez González

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,94
U ✓
3,09
B
2,52
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,34
U2,5 ✓
1,55
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jose Luis Guzman Mansilla · 12 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.