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La Liga

Referee: Valentín Pizarro

Valencia

U T S U T

2–0

Full-time

Celta

T U U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valencia Celta

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,0

2,8

Scored

0,8

1,2

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,5

This season — La Liga · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 26%

22%

30%

Points per game

1,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

48%

Both score Ø 61%

65%

57%

Average goals

2,6

2,7

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

1,4

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%

10 Shots 5

3 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

6 Corners 1

2 Offside 0

9 Free kicks against 19

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Valencia 13. · Celta 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	23	17	4	2	+29	55
2	Real Madrid	23	15	4	4	+22	49
3	Barcelona	22	14	4	4	+28	46
4	Sevilla	22	14	3	5	+16	45
5	Sociedad	23	10	8	5	+17	38
6	Villarreal	23	8	12	3	+8	36
7	Betis	24	11	3	10	-6	36
8	Levante	24	7	10	7	+1	31
9	Granada	23	8	6	9	-11	30
10	Celta	23	7	8	8	-5	29
11	Ath Bilbao	22	8	4	10	+6	28
12	Osasuna	23	6	7	10	-9	25
13	Valencia	23	5	9	9	-4	24
14	Getafe	24	6	6	12	-13	24
15	Cadiz	23	6	6	11	-19	24
16	Alaves	23	5	7	11	-14	22
17	Eibar	24	4	9	11	-8	21
18	Elche	22	4	9	9	-11	21
19	Valladolid	23	4	9	10	-12	21
20	Huesca	23	2	10	11	-15	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	12	9	2	1	+19	29
2	Sevilla	11	8	1	2	+12	25
3	Barcelona	11	7	3	1	+16	24
4	Real Madrid	11	8	0	3	+13	24
5	Villarreal	12	5	6	1	+6	21
6	Granada	12	6	3	3	+2	21
7	Betis	12	6	2	4	+1	20
8	Ath Bilbao	11	6	1	4	+9	19
9	Celta	11	6	1	4	+0	19
10	Levante	12	4	6	2	+3	18
11	Sociedad	11	4	5	2	+8	17
12	Getafe	12	4	3	5	+0	15
13	Osasuna	11	4	3	4	-2	15
14	Valencia	11	3	5	3	+2	14
15	Alaves	12	3	4	5	-5	13
16	Elche	12	2	6	4	-6	12
17	Valladolid	11	2	4	5	-7	10
18	Cadiz	12	2	4	6	-10	10
19	Huesca	11	1	5	5	-6	8
20	Eibar	12	1	5	6	-7	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	11	8	2	1	+10	26
2	Real Madrid	12	7	4	1	+9	25
3	Barcelona	11	7	1	3	+12	22
4	Sociedad	12	6	3	3	+9	21
5	Sevilla	11	6	2	3	+4	20
6	Betis	12	5	1	6	-7	16
7	Villarreal	11	3	6	2	+2	15
8	Cadiz	11	4	2	5	-9	14
9	Eibar	12	3	4	5	-1	13
10	Levante	12	3	4	5	-2	13
11	Valladolid	12	2	5	5	-5	11
12	Celta	12	1	7	4	-5	10
13	Valencia	12	2	4	6	-6	10
14	Osasuna	12	2	4	6	-7	10
15	Ath Bilbao	11	2	3	6	-3	9
16	Elche	10	2	3	5	-5	9
17	Alaves	11	2	3	6	-9	9
18	Granada	11	2	3	6	-13	9
19	Getafe	12	2	3	7	-13	9
20	Huesca	12	1	5	6	-9	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.