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La Liga

Referee: César Soto

Ath Bilbao

U T S T U

1–0

Full-time

Valencia

U T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Valencia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 9%

17%

Both score Ø 17%

33%

Average goals

1,0

1,7

Scored

0,7

0,8

Conceded

0,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,0

This season — La Liga · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

1,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

0,0

1,0

Scored

0,0

1,0

Conceded

0,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

37% Possession 63%

12 Shots 10

2 Shots on target 0

4 Blocked shots 4

0 Goalkeeper saves 1

6 Corners 3

6 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 15

5 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Bilbao 9. · Valencia 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Betis	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Osasuna	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Vallecano	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Villarreal	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Ath Madrid	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Valencia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Sociedad	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Ath Bilbao	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Barcelona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Sevilla	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Mallorca	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Espanol	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	Celta	2	0	1	1	-3	1
15	Valladolid	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Almeria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Girona	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Cadiz	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Elche	1	0	0	1	-3	0
20	Getafe	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Osasuna	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Betis	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Valencia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Sevilla	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Ath Bilbao	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Barcelona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Celta	2	0	1	1	-3	1
8	Mallorca	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Almeria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Cadiz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Espanol	1	0	0	1	-2	0
12	Valladolid	1	0	0	1	-3	0
13	Getafe	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Vallecano	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Villarreal	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Ath Madrid	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Betis	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Sociedad	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Espanol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Valladolid	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Mallorca	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Sevilla	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Girona	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Cadiz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
13	Elche	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.