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La Liga
Referee: Juan Pulido
Celta
S T U T S
3–0
Full-time
Cadiz
U S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celta Cadiz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
1,0
0,3
Conceded
1,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-1,5
This season — La Liga · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
67%
0%
Average goals
3,3
2,3
Scored
1,3
0,0
Conceded
2,0
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-2,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%
9 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 0
1 Blocked shots 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 2
4 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 23
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Celta 12. · Cadiz 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 3 3 0 0 +6 9
2 Betis 3 3 0 0 +5 9
3 Barcelona 3 2 1 0 +7 7
4 Ath Bilbao 3 2 1 0 +5 7
5 Villarreal 3 2 1 0 +5 7
6 Ath Madrid 3 2 0 1 +2 6
7 Osasuna 3 2 0 1 +2 6
8 Sociedad 3 2 0 1 -1 6
9 Mallorca 3 1 1 1 +1 4
10 Almeria 3 1 1 1 +0 4
11 Vallecano 3 1 1 1 +0 4
12 Celta 3 1 1 1 -2 4
13 Girona 3 1 0 2 +0 3
14 Valencia 3 1 0 2 -1 3
15 Sevilla 3 0 1 2 -2 1
16 Espanol 3 0 1 2 -4 1
17 Elche 3 0 1 2 -4 1
18 Getafe 3 0 1 2 -5 1
19 Valladolid 3 0 1 2 -7 1
20 Cadiz 3 0 0 3 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Celta Cadiz
27′
🟨 Anthony Lozano
Half-time 0–0
Gabri Veiga 🔁
↦ R. Tapia
46′
J. Strand Larsen 🔁
↦ Carles Pérez
46′
1–0 Iago Aspas
Gabri Veiga
56′
62′
🔁 Lucas Pérez
↦ A. Lozano
62′
🔁 Sobrino
↦ Alejo
2–0 Óscar Rodríguez
J. Strand Larsen
62′
63′
🔁 T. Bongonda
↦ Fede
A. Solari 🔁
↦ Óscar Rodríguez
67′
74′
🔁 Álex
↦ B. Ocampo
74′
🔁 Álvaro Giménez
↦ Antonio Blanco
3–0 Iago Aspas
F. Cervi
75′
Jørgen Strand Larsen 🟨
78′
Óscar Mingueza 🔁
↦ Hugo Mallo
83′
L. de la Torre 🔁
↦ Fran Beltrán
83′
91′
🟨 Joseba Zaldúa
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Celta

4-1-3-2
1 A. Marchesín G
2 Hugo Mallo D
15 J. Aidoo D
4 Unai Núñez D
17 Javier Galán D
14 R. Tapia M
11 F. Cervi M
8 Fran Beltrán M
5 Óscar Rodríguez M
7 Carles Pérez F
10 Iago Aspas F
Bench (11)
28 Gabri Veiga
18 J. Strand Larsen
21 A. Solari
3 Óscar Mingueza
23 L. de la Torre
29 Miguel Rodríguez
32 Fran López
20 Kevin Vázquez
13 Iván Villar
19 W. Swedberg
26 Carlos Domínguez

Coach: E. Coudet

Cadiz

4-1-4-1
1 J. Ledesma G
2 Zaldúa D
23 Luis Hernández D
32 Víctor Chust D
22 A. Espino D
24 Fede M
11 Alejo M
12 T. Alarcón M
36 Antonio Blanco M
14 B. Ocampo M
9 A. Lozano F
Bench (12)
15 Lucas Pérez
7 Sobrino
10 T. Bongonda
8 Álex
19 Álvaro Giménez
20 Isaac Carcelén
16 Juan Cala
6 José Mari
13 David Gil
3 Fali Jiménez
18 Álvaro Negredo
21 S. Arzamendia

Coach: Sergio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,67
U
3,65
B
5,93
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,32
U2,5
1,62
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Juan Pulido · 42 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.