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La Liga

Referee: Jesús Gil

Celta

S T S T U

1–4

Full-time

Real Madrid

T S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celta Real Madrid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,8

2,7

Scored

1,5

2,2

Conceded

1,3

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,7

This season — La Liga · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

1,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

4,0

3,0

Scored

2,0

Conceded

2,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

51% Possession 49%

15 Shots 16

2 Shots on target 7

5 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 2

0 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 8

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Celta 9. · Real Madrid 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Betis	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Osasuna	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Vallecano	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Villarreal	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Ath Madrid	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Valencia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Sociedad	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Celta	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Ath Bilbao	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Barcelona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Sevilla	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Mallorca	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Espanol	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Valladolid	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Almeria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Girona	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Cadiz	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Elche	1	0	0	1	-3	0
20	Getafe	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Osasuna	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Betis	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Valencia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Celta	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Sevilla	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Ath Bilbao	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Barcelona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Mallorca	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Almeria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Cadiz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Espanol	1	0	0	1	-2	0
12	Valladolid	1	0	0	1	-3	0
13	Getafe	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vallecano	2	1	1	0	+2	4
2	Villarreal	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Ath Madrid	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Betis	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Sociedad	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Espanol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Valladolid	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Mallorca	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Sevilla	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Girona	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Cadiz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
13	Elche	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.