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La Liga
Referee: Jesús Gil
Celta
U T T U U
2–1
Full-time
Valencia
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celta Valencia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,7
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
This season — La Liga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
0,0
6,0
Scored
0,0
4,0
Conceded
0,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

51% Possession 49%
23 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 3
7 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 6
2 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Celta 10. · Valencia 2. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Villarreal 2 1 1 0 +1 4
2 Valencia 1 1 0 0 +2 3
3 Granada 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Osasuna 2 1 0 1 +1 3
5 Betis 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Getafe 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Huesca 1 0 1 0 +0 1
8 Valladolid 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Sociedad 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Celta 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Eibar 2 0 1 1 -1 1
12 Alaves 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Levante 1 0 0 1 -2 0
14 Ath Bilbao 1 0 0 1 -2 0
15 Cadiz 1 0 0 1 -2 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

1. Feb -20 Valencia – Celta 1–0 24. Aug -19 Celta – Valencia 1–0 19. Jan -19 Celta – Valencia 1–2 26. Sep -18 Valencia – Celta 1–1 21. Apr -18 Celta – Valencia 1–1

Match report

Celta Valencia
1–0 Iago Aspas ⚽
Nolito
13′
Iago Aspas ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
15′
Renato Tapia 🟨
25′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Manu Vallejo
↦ Gonçalo Guedes
46′
🔁 Jason
↦ Lee Kang-In
46′
⚽ M. Gómez 1–1
D. Wass
55′
🟨 Vicente Esquerdo
2–1 Iago Aspas ⚽
57′
O. Yokuşlu 🔁
↦ Fran Beltrán
67′
Miguel Baeza 🔁
↦ Denis Suárez
67′
Brais Méndez 🔁
↦ E. Mor
72′
73′
🔁 Thierry Correia
↦ Vicente Esquerdo
Gabri Veiga 🔁
↦ J. Murillo
80′
N. Araújo 🔁
↦ R. Tapia
80′
84′
🔁 Sobrino
↦ Y. Musah
Iván Villar 🟨
90′
Okay Yokuşlu 🟨
90′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Celta

4-4-2
1 Iván Villar G
2 Hugo Mallo D
24 J. Murillo D
15 L. Olaza D
18 J. Aidoo D
6 Denis Suárez M
14 R. Tapia M
11 E. Mor F
8 Fran Beltrán M
10 Iago Aspas F
9 Nolito M
Bench (12)
5 O. Yokuşlu
27 Miguel Baeza
23 Brais Méndez
31 Gabri Veiga
4 N. Araújo
29 José Fontán
32 Miguel Rodríguez
35 Raúl Blanco
17 Juncà
20 Kevin Vázquez
22 Santi Mina
7 Vadillo

Coach: Óscar García

Valencia

4-4-2
1 Jaume Doménech G
5 Gabriel Paulista D
14 Gayà D
12 M. Diakhaby D
18 D. Wass D
6 G. Kondogbia M
7 Gonçalo Guedes M
26 Vicente Esquerdo M
30 Y. Musah M
20 Lee Kang-In F
22 M. Gómez F
Bench (11)
21 Manu Vallejo
23 Jason
2 Thierry Correia
11 Sobrino
31 Guillem Molina
15 Hugo Guillamón
32 Álex Centelles
25 Cristian Rivero
3 Toni Lato
37 Álex Blanco
27 K. Koindredi

Coach: Javi Gracia

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,24
🔒
U
3,50
🔒
B
3,17
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,02
🔒
U2,5
1,80
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Jesús Gil · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.