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Premiership
Referee: K Clancy
Aberdeen
T S S U T
4–1
Full-time
Kilmarnock
T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aberdeen Kilmarnock
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,7
2,2
Scored
2,3
0,3
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,5
This season — Premiership · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 29%
43%
14%
Points per game
1,4
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
57%
29%
Both score Ø 43%
57%
29%
Average goals
3,4
2,1
Scored
2,0
0,4
Conceded
1,4
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-1,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

60% Possession 40%
16 Shots 7
8 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 5
1 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aberdeen 7. · Kilmarnock 11. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 8 6 1 1 +12 19
2 Celtic 7 6 0 1 +22 18
3 Hearts 8 4 1 3 +1 13
4 St Mirren 7 4 0 3 +0 12
5 Livingston 7 4 0 3 -3 12
6 Hibernian 7 3 2 2 +2 11
7 Aberdeen 7 3 1 3 +4 10
8 Motherwell 7 3 1 3 -2 10
9 ST Johnstone 7 2 1 4 -3 7
10 Ross County 7 1 2 4 -7 5
11 Kilmarnock 7 1 1 5 -9 4
12 Dundee United 7 0 2 5 -17 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

20. Feb -21 Aberdeen – Kilmarnock 1–0 20. Dec -20 Kilmarnock – Aberdeen 0–2 12. Sep -20 Aberdeen – Kilmarnock 1–0 4. Mar -20 Kilmarnock – Aberdeen 2–2 2. Nov -19 Aberdeen – Kilmarnock 3–0

Match report

Aberdeen Kilmarnock
18′
🟨 Jordan Jones
1–0 V. Besuijen ⚽
22′
2–0 B. Miovski ⚽
24′
27′
⚽ A. Taylor 2–1
L. Polworth
Marley Watkins 🟨
39′
3–1 B. Miovski ⚽
45′
Half-time 3–1
51′
🟨 Ash Taylor
4–1 A. Stewart ⚽
J. Hayes
63′
64′
🔁 R. McKenzie
↦ B. Lyons
64′
🔁 I. Cameron
↦ C. Doidge
64′
🔁 D. Armstrong
↦ Jordan Jones
S. Morris 🔁
↦ M. Watkins
66′
Duk 🔁
↦ B. Miovski
67′
70′
🔁 B. Alston
↦ L. Polworth
C. Ramírez 🔁
↦ V. Besuijen
80′
J. Milne 🔁
↦ M. Kennedy
80′
R. Duncan 🔁
↦ J. Hayes
81′
81′
🔁 S. Warnock
↦ A. Power
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Aberdeen

4-4-2
24 K. Roos G
25 J. Richardson D
5 A. Stewart D
2 R. McCrorie D
22 H. Coulson D
15 M. Watkins M
16 Y. Ramadani M
33 M. Kennedy M
17 J. Hayes M
9 B. Miovski F
10 V. Besuijen F
Bench (9)
7 S. Morris
11 Duk
99 C. Ramírez
28 J. Milne
23 R. Duncan
47 D. Lobban
21 D. Polvara
1 J. Lewis
3 J. MacKenzie

Coach: B. Robson

Kilmarnock

4-2-3-1
1 Z. Hemming G
2 L. Mayo D
5 A. Taylor D
19 J. Wright D
33 B. Chrisene D
17 B. Lyons M
4 A. Power M
10 Jordan Jones M
31 L. Polworth M
9 O. Shaw M
26 C. Doidge F
Bench (9)
7 R. McKenzie
27 I. Cameron
11 D. Armstrong
8 B. Alston
32 S. Warnock
20 S. Walker
28 K. Lafferty
3 J. Dorsett
21 K. McInroy

Coach: D. McInnes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,69
🔒
U
3,67
🔒
B
5,11
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,04
🔒
U2,5
1,76
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

K Clancy · 126 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.