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Ekstraklasa
Referee: P Lasyk
Lech Poznan
S T U S S
0–0
Full-time
Legia
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lech Poznan Legia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,7
3,3
Scored
2,5
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,0
This season — Ekstraklasa · 9/10 matches
Win Ø 52%
44%
60%
Points per game
1,6
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 37%
33%
40%
Average goals
2,2
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,4
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%
11 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 0
1 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 7
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Lech Poznan 8. · Legia 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Wisla Plock 11 6 2 3 +10 20
2 Legia 10 6 2 2 +1 20
3 Rakow 9 6 1 2 +9 19
4 Pogon Szczecin 10 5 3 2 +5 18
5 Cracovia 11 5 2 4 +5 17
6 Widzew Lodz 10 5 1 4 +4 16
7 Zaglebie 11 4 4 3 -2 16
8 Lech Poznan 9 4 2 3 +2 14
9 Radomiak Radom 11 4 2 5 -4 14
10 Jagiellonia 10 3 4 3 +3 13
11 Gornik Zabrze 10 3 4 3 +0 13
12 Slask Wroclaw 10 3 4 3 -4 13
13 Stal Mielec 10 4 1 5 -5 13
14 Korona Kielce 10 3 2 5 -1 11
15 Piast Gliwice 10 3 2 5 -1 11
16 Warta Poznan 10 3 2 5 -4 11
17 Legnica 9 1 2 6 -7 5
18 Lechia Gdansk 9 1 2 6 -11 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lech Poznan Legia
-5′
🟨 Blaž Kramer
17′
🟨 Artur Jędrzejczyk
27′
🟨 Paweł Wszołek
36′
🟨 Filip Mladenović
Half-time 0–0
46′
🟨 Maik Nawrocki
Mikael Ishak 🟨
51′
Afonso Sousa 🔁
↦ João Amaral
53′
58′
🟨 Rafał Augustyniak
G. Tsitaishvili 🔁
↦ K. Velde
65′
68′
🔁 M. Rosołek
↦ M. Baku
68′
🔁 B. Kapustka
↦ E. Muçi
F. Szymczak 🔁
↦ N. Kvekveskiri
79′
R. Murawski 🔁
↦ J. Karlström
79′
80′
🟨 Artur Jędrzejczyk
80′
🟥 Artur Jędrzejczyk
82′
🔁 L. Rose
↦ Carlitos López
86′
🔁 B. Kramer
↦ P. Wszołek
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Lech Poznan

4-4-1-1
35 F. Bednarek G
2 Joel Pereira D
25 F. Dagerstål D
16 A. Milić D
3 B. Douglas D
23 K. Velde M
6 J. Karlström M
30 N. Kvekveskiri M
21 M. Skóraś M
24 João Amaral F
9 M. Ishak F
Bench (9)
7 Afonso Sousa
14 G. Tsitaishvili
17 F. Szymczak
22 R. Murawski
5 Pedro Rebocho
90 A. Sobiech
1 A. Rudko
44 A. Czerwiński
37 Ľ. Šatka

Coach: J. van den Brom

Legia

4-2-3-1
1 K. Tobiasz G
6 M. Johansson D
17 M. Nawrocki D
55 A. Jędrzejczyk D
25 F. Mladenović D
8 R. Augustyniak M
99 B. Slisz M
13 P. Wszołek M
20 E. Muçi M
28 M. Baku M
19 Carlitos López F
Bench (9)
39 M. Rosołek
67 B. Kapustka
29 L. Rose
9 B. Kramer
14 I. Kharatin
11 R. Pich
5 Yuri Ribeiro
18 P. Sokołowski
30 D. Hładun

Coach: K. Runjaić

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

P Lasyk · 90 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.