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Serie B
Referee: F Dionisi
Parma
U S U T S
2–1
Full-time
Frosinone
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Parma Frosinone
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,3
1,8
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
1,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,8
This season — Serie B · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,3
1,8
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
1,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

47% Possession 53%
8 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 7
2 Offside 6
18 Free kicks against 20
6 Yellow cards 6
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Parma 9. · Frosinone 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Reggina 6 5 0 1 +12 15
2 Brescia 6 5 0 1 +4 15
3 Frosinone 6 4 0 2 +5 12
4 Bari 6 3 3 0 +4 12
5 Cosenza 7 3 2 2 +2 11
6 Genoa 6 3 2 1 +2 11
7 Cagliari 6 3 1 2 +2 10
8 Ternana 6 3 1 2 -1 10
9 Parma 6 2 3 1 +2 9
10 Spal 6 2 3 1 +1 9
11 Ascoli 6 2 2 2 -1 8
12 Cittadella 6 2 2 2 -2 8
13 Benevento 6 2 1 3 -1 7
14 Palermo 6 2 1 3 -2 7
15 Sudtirol 6 2 1 3 -4 7
16 Venezia 6 1 2 3 -4 5
17 Perugia 6 1 1 4 -5 4
18 Modena 6 1 0 5 -3 3
19 Como 7 0 3 4 -7 3
20 Pisa 6 0 2 4 -4 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Parma Frosinone
Stanko Jurić 🟨
27′
30′
🟨 Mario Sampirisi
Half-time 0–0
46′
🟨 Gianluca Frabotta
D. Man 🔁
↦ D. Camara
46′
1–0 G. Tutino
47′
Lautaro Valenti ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
51′
2–0 D. Man
52′
54′
🟨 Ben Lhassine Kone
Gennaro Tutino 🟨
55′
55′
🟨 Luca Garritano
A. Hainaut 🔁
↦ G. Tutino
60′
64′
🔁 R. Insigne
↦ S. Mulattieri
64′
🔁 L. Moro
↦ G. Caso
Antoine Hainaut 🟨
66′
Jayden Oosterwolde 🟨
68′
72′
🔁 R. Ciervo
↦ L. Garritano
81′
L. Moro 2–1
L. Mazzitelli
S. Sohm 🔁
↦ N. Estévez
83′
A. Benedyczak 🔁
↦ R. Inglese
84′
86′
🔁 M. Bočić
↦ L. Mazzitelli
86′
🔁 G. Borrelli
↦ M. Sampirisi
Enrico Del Prato 🟨
87′
88′
🟨 Daniel Boloca
L. Chichizola 🔁
↦ G. Buffon
91′
95′
🟨 Luca Ravanelli
Antoine Hainaut 🟨
99′
Antoine Hainaut 🟥
99′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Parma

4-2-3-1
1 G. Buffon G
15 E. Del Prato D
39 A. Circati D
30 L. Valenti D
17 J. Oosterwolde D
24 S. Jurić M
8 N. Estévez M
23 D. Camara M
10 F. Vázquez M
11 G. Tutino M
45 R. Inglese F
Bench (12)
98 D. Man
20 A. Hainaut
19 S. Sohm
7 A. Benedyczak
22 L. Chichizola
13 A. Bonny
40 E. Corvi
4 B. Balogh
9 G. Charpentier
26 W. Coulibaly
3 Y. Osorio
14 C. Ansaldi

Coach: F. Pecchia

Frosinone

4-3-3
22 S. Turati G
31 M. Sampirisi D
5 F. Lucioni D
20 L. Ravanelli D
99 G. Frabotta D
11 D. Boloca M
36 L. Mazzitelli M
4 B. Kone M
16 L. Garritano F
9 S. Mulattieri F
10 G. Caso F
Bench (12)
94 R. Insigne
24 L. Moro
21 R. Ciervo
19 M. Bočić
90 G. Borrelli
41 A. Oliveri
30 I. Monterisi
12 G. Marcianò
29 M. Cotali
25 P. Szymiński
8 K. Lulić
1 L. Loria

Coach: F. Grosso

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,17
U
3,31
B
3,33
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,96
U2,5
1,83
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Dionisi · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
29,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.