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Taça de Portugal

Joane

0–3

Full-time

Belenenses

S U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Joane Belenenses

Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

100%

17%

Points per game

3,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

5,0

2,5

Scored

3,0

1,0

Conceded

2,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Varzim	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Benfica Castelo Branco	2	1	0	1	+7	3
3	Pêro Pinheiro	1	1	0	0	+6	3
4	São João Ver	1	1	0	0	+6	3
5	Beira-Mar	1	1	0	0	+6	3
6	Fafe	1	1	0	0	+5	3
7	Montalegre	1	1	0	0	+5	3
8	UD da Serra	1	1	0	0	+4	3
9	Merelinense	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	Vianense	1	1	0	0	+4	3
11	Valadares Gaia	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Olhanense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Felgueiras 1932	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Dumiense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Juventude Évora	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	Sanjoanense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
17	FC Serpa	1	1	0	0	+3	3
18	Vilaverdense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Os Marialvas	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Moreirense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Alverca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Lagos	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Canelas 2010	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Fontinhas	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Arronches e Benfica	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Ferreiras	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Praiense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Joane	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Bragança	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Resende	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Oriental Dragon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Gondomar	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Sertanense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Oriental Lisboa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Sintrense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Camacha	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	União de Leiria	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	União Santarém	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Tirsense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Paredes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Oliveira Hospital	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	Farense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
43	Lajense	2	1	0	1	-1	3
44	Pombal	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	União de Tomar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Lusitânia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Freamunde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	São Roque (Açores)	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Monção	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Leça	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	1º Dezembro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Vila Meã	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Rebordosa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Alcains	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Madalena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Fazendense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Amarante	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Marinhense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Gavionenses	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Santa Eulália	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Alpendorada	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Lusitânia Lourosa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Feirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Atlético Arcos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	Vila Cortez	1	0	0	1	-2	0
66	UD Rio Maior	1	0	0	1	-2	0
67	Comércio Indústria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
68	Régua	1	0	0	1	-2	0
69	Lusitano Évora 1911	1	0	0	1	-2	0
70	Mosteirense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
71	Culatrense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
72	Salgueiros	1	0	0	1	-3	0
73	Atlético Reguengos	1	0	0	1	-3	0
74	Mondinense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
75	Brito	1	0	0	1	-3	0
76	Moncarapachense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
77	Lusitano FCV	1	0	0	1	-3	0
78	Castrense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
79	Pedrógão São Pedro	1	0	0	1	-4	0
80	Maria da Fonte	1	0	0	1	-4	0
81	Vinhais	1	0	0	1	-4	0
82	Ribeira Brava	1	0	0	1	-5	0
83	Rebordelo	1	0	0	1	-5	0
84	AD Portomosense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
85	Mortágua	1	0	0	1	-6	0
86	Sporting Mêda	1	0	0	1	-6	0
87	Águias do Moradal	1	0	0	1	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Varzim	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Benfica Castelo Branco	2	1	0	1	+7	3
3	Pêro Pinheiro	1	1	0	0	+6	3
4	São João Ver	1	1	0	0	+6	3
5	Fafe	1	1	0	0	+5	3
6	UD da Serra	1	1	0	0	+4	3
7	Valadares Gaia	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Felgueiras 1932	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Dumiense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Juventude Évora	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	FC Serpa	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Vilaverdense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Os Marialvas	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Alverca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Lagos	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Canelas 2010	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Arronches e Benfica	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Ferreiras	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Bragança	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Oriental Dragon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Gondomar	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Oriental Lisboa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Sintrense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Camacha	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	União Santarém	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Oliveira Hospital	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Lajense	2	1	0	1	-1	3
28	Pombal	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Lusitânia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Freamunde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Leça	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Alcains	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Marinhense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Santa Eulália	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Alpendorada	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Lusitano Évora 1911	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	Atlético Reguengos	1	0	0	1	-3	0
38	Lusitano FCV	1	0	0	1	-3	0
39	Maria da Fonte	1	0	0	1	-4	0
40	Vinhais	1	0	0	1	-4	0
41	Rebordelo	1	0	0	1	-5	0
42	Sporting Mêda	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Beira-Mar	1	1	0	0	+6	3
2	Montalegre	1	1	0	0	+5	3
3	Merelinense	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Vianense	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Olhanense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Sanjoanense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Moreirense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Fontinhas	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Praiense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Joane	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Resende	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Sertanense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	União de Leiria	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Tirsense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Paredes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Farense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	União de Tomar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	São Roque (Açores)	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Monção	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	1º Dezembro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Vila Meã	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Rebordosa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Madalena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Fazendense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Amarante	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Gavionenses	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Lusitânia Lourosa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Feirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Atlético Arcos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
30	Vila Cortez	1	0	0	1	-2	0
31	UD Rio Maior	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	Comércio Indústria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	Régua	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	Mosteirense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	Culatrense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Salgueiros	1	0	0	1	-3	0
37	Mondinense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
38	Brito	1	0	0	1	-3	0
39	Moncarapachense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
40	Castrense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
41	Pedrógão São Pedro	1	0	0	1	-4	0
42	Ribeira Brava	1	0	0	1	-5	0
43	AD Portomosense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
44	Mortágua	1	0	0	1	-6	0
45	Águias do Moradal	1	0	0	1	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.