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Championship
Referee: D Webb
Blackburn
T S T S T
2–1
Full-time
Millwall
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Blackburn Millwall
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
1,2
0,7
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,7
This season — Championship · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 45%
50%
40%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
50%
30%
Both score Ø 25%
20%
30%
Average goals
2,4
2,5
Scored
1,1
1,1
Conceded
1,3
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%
10 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
6 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Blackburn 8. · Millwall 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sheffield United 10 7 2 1 +14 23
2 Norwich 10 6 2 2 +7 20
3 Reading 10 6 0 4 -4 18
4 Burnley 10 4 5 1 +7 17
5 Luton 11 4 4 3 +3 16
6 Sunderland 10 4 3 3 +5 15
7 QPR 10 4 3 3 +3 15
8 Blackburn 10 5 0 5 -2 15
9 Rotherham 9 3 5 1 +6 14
10 Bristol City 10 4 2 4 +3 14
11 Watford 10 3 5 2 +0 14
12 Wigan 9 3 4 2 -2 13
13 Millwall 10 4 1 5 -3 13
14 Stoke 10 3 3 4 +0 12
15 Preston 10 2 6 2 -1 12
16 Swansea 10 3 3 4 -2 12
17 Birmingham 10 3 3 4 -2 12
18 Cardiff 10 3 2 5 -4 11
19 Blackpool 10 3 2 5 -5 11
20 Hull 11 3 2 6 -12 11
21 West Brom 10 1 7 2 +1 10
22 Middlesbrough 10 2 4 4 -2 10
23 Huddersfield 9 2 1 6 -4 7
24 Coventry 7 0 3 4 -6 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Blackburn Millwall
Half-time 1–0
1–0 T. Dolan
57′
2–0 B. Brereton
63′
G. Hirst 🔁
↦ S. Gallagher
64′
S. Szmodics 🔁
↦ T. Dolan
65′
68′
🔁 A. Voglsammer
↦ G. Honeyman
68′
🔁 G. Evans
↦ B. Mitchell
68′
🔁 T. Burey
↦ C. Cresswell
Tyler Morton 🟨
75′
75′
J. Cooper 2–1
T. Burey
H. Carter 🔁
↦ R. Hedges
79′
79′
🔁 G. Saville
↦ C. Styles
B. Dack 🔁
↦ B. Brereton
90′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Blackburn

3-4-3
1 T. Kaminski G
5 D. Hyam D
4 Daniel Ayala D
16 S. Wharton D
19 R. Hedges M
27 L. Travis M
6 T. Morton M
3 H. Pickering M
9 S. Gallagher F
10 T. Dolan F
22 B. Brereton F
Bench (7)
14 G. Hirst
8 S. Szmodics
17 H. Carter
23 B. Dack
2 C. Brittain
13 A. Pears
21 J. Buckley

Coach: J. Tomasson

Millwall

3-5-2
1 G. Long G
15 C. Cresswell D
5 J. Cooper D
3 M. Wallace D
16 J. Shackleton M
39 G. Honeyman M
8 B. Mitchell M
17 C. Styles M
11 S. Malone M
7 B. Afobe F
10 Z. Flemming F
Bench (7)
21 A. Voglsammer
6 G. Evans
14 T. Burey
23 G. Saville
33 B. Bialkowski
2 D. McNamara
9 T. Bradshaw

Coach: G. Rowett

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,26
U
3,24
B
3,31
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,20
U2,5
1,67
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Webb · 199 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.