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Ligue 2
Referee: O Thual
Caen
U U T S T
0–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Caen Quevilly Rouen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
1,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,0
This season — Ligue 2 · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 28%
44%
11%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
44%
67%
Both score Ø 62%
67%
56%
Average goals
2,6
2,8
Scored
1,6
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

64% Possession 36%
13 Shots 2
4 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 1
2 Offside 1
20 Free kicks against 18
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Caen 6. · Quevilly Rouen 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sochaux 9 6 1 2 +12 19
2 Le Havre 9 5 3 1 +11 18
3 Bordeaux 9 5 2 2 +8 17
4 Amiens 9 5 2 2 +3 17
5 Guingamp 8 5 1 2 +6 16
6 Caen 9 4 3 2 +5 15
7 Valenciennes 9 3 4 2 +0 13
8 Grenoble 10 3 4 3 -2 13
9 Bastia 9 4 1 4 -3 13
10 Metz 9 3 2 4 +2 11
11 St Etienne 10 2 5 3 -1 11
12 Dijon 9 3 2 4 -3 11
13 Paris FC 9 2 4 3 -2 10
14 Laval 9 3 1 5 -3 10
15 Pau FC 9 2 4 3 -6 10
16 Annecy 9 2 3 4 -2 9
17 Rodez 8 2 3 3 -4 9
18 Nimes 9 2 2 5 -4 8
19 Quevilly Rouen 9 1 4 4 -7 7
20 Niort 9 2 1 6 -10 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Caen Quevilly Rouen
29′
M. Camara 0–1
I. Soumaré
Half-time 0–1
46′
🟨 Kalidou Sidibé
G. Kyeremeh 🔁
↦ Alexandre Mendy
46′
J. Obiang 🔁
↦ D. Diani
46′
B. Brahimi 🔁
↦ C. Zady Sery
46′
Ibrahim Cissé 🟨
47′
B. Jeannot 🔁
↦ S. Essende
70′
71′
🔁 A. Bonnet
↦ M. Camara
75′
🔁 G. Sangaré
↦ C. Diedhiou
N. Bassette 🔁
↦ Q. Daubin
77′
82′
🟨 Jason Pendant
87′
🟨 Gustavo Sangaré
Adolphe Teikeu 🟨
88′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Caen

4-3-1-2
1 A. Mandréa G
25 L. Sy D
4 A. Teikeu D
27 I. Cissé D
22 B. Traoré D
6 Q. Daubin M
28 D. Diani M
8 J. Deminguet M
10 C. Zady Sery M
99 S. Essende F
19 Alexandre Mendy F
Bench (7)
17 G. Kyeremeh
23 J. Obiang
21 B. Brahimi
9 B. Jeannot
77 N. Bassette
20 N. Lebreton
16 Y. Clementia

Coach: S. Moulin

Quevilly Rouen

5-4-1
1 N. Lemaître G
2 A. Sissoko D
6 K. Sidibé D
15 S. Ben Youssef D
18 C. Diedhiou D
24 J. Pendant D
19 M. Camara M
12 G. Gbellé M
4 B. Pierret M
45 I. Soumaré M
9 L. Mafouta F
Bench (7)
10 A. Bonnet
17 G. Sangaré
20 N. Cissé
7 M. Bangré
29 A. Jung
27 D. Bansais
16 Y. Thuram-Ulien

Coach: O. Echouafni

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,72
U
3,48
B ✓
5,12
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,17
U2,5 ✓
1,66
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

O Thual · 91 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
28,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.