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Premiership
Referee: C Graham
Aberdeen
U T U T S
2–3
Full-time
Motherwell
T T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aberdeen Motherwell
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,8
2,7
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
0,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,3
This season — Premiership · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,0
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

60% Possession 40%
14 Shots 19
3 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 7
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 12
2 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aberdeen 5. · Motherwell 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 2 2 0 0 +4 6
2 Rangers 2 2 0 0 +3 6
3 Hearts 2 1 1 0 +1 4
4 Hibernian 2 1 1 0 +1 4
5 Aberdeen 2 1 0 1 +1 3
6 ST Johnstone 2 1 0 1 +0 3
7 Livingston 2 1 0 1 +0 3
8 Motherwell 2 1 0 1 +0 3
9 Dundee United 2 0 1 1 -1 1
10 Kilmarnock 2 0 1 1 -2 1
11 Ross County 2 0 0 2 -3 0
12 St Mirren 2 0 0 2 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aberdeen Motherwell
20′
B. Spittal 0–1
C. Shields
S. Morris 🔁
↦ M. Kennedy
30′
35′
🟨 Callum Slattery
1–1 B. Miovski
L. Scales
42′
Half-time 2–1
2–1 J. Hayes
47′
52′
C. Slattery 2–2
S. Goss
55′
K. van Veen 2–3
62′
🔁 J. Efford
↦ B. Spittal
J. MacKenzie 🔁
↦ L. Clarkson
67′
74′
🔁 B. Maguire
↦ C. Slattery
74′
🔁 J. Morris
↦ C. Shields
74′
🔁 R. Tierney
↦ D. Cornelius
Duk 🔁
↦ J. Hayes
75′
85′
🟨 Josh Morris
Jack Mackenzie 🟨
91′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Aberdeen

4-2-3-1
24 K. Roos G
25 J. Richardson D
5 A. Stewart D
2 R. McCrorie D
4 L. Scales D
16 Y. Ramadani M
20 L. Clarkson M
33 M. Kennedy M
10 V. Besuijen M
17 J. Hayes M
9 B. Miovski F
Bench (9)
7 S. Morris
3 J. MacKenzie
11 Duk
23 R. Duncan
99 C. Ramírez
21 D. Polvara
1 J. Lewis
28 J. Milne
15 M. Watkins

Coach: B. Robson

Motherwell

4-4-2
1 L. Kelly G
16 P. McGinn D
5 B. Mugabi D
15 S. Johansen D
2 S. O'Donnell D
8 C. Slattery M
27 S. Goss M
18 D. Cornelius M
7 B. Spittal M
29 C. Shields F
9 K. van Veen F
Bench (9)
11 J. Efford
6 B. Maguire
23 J. Morris
26 R. Tierney
13 A. Oxborough
28 R. Mahon
14 J. Ojala
36 K. Speirs
22 M. Johnston

Coach: S. Hammell

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,79
U
3,49
B ✓
4,66
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,14
U2,5
1,68
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

C Graham · 44 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.