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Serie B
Referee: M Marcenaro
Modena
T S T T T
1–0
Full-time
Reggina
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Modena Reggina
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
0,5
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,0
2,3
Conceded
1,5
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+2,0
This season — Serie B · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
0,5
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,0
2,3
Conceded
1,5
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

40% Possession 60%
6 Shots 16
3 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
0 Corners 6
1 Offside 6
20 Free kicks against 8
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Modena 18. · Reggina 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Reggina 6 5 0 1 +12 15
2 Brescia 6 5 0 1 +4 15
3 Frosinone 6 4 0 2 +5 12
4 Bari 6 3 3 0 +4 12
5 Cosenza 7 3 2 2 +2 11
6 Genoa 6 3 2 1 +2 11
7 Cagliari 6 3 1 2 +2 10
8 Ternana 6 3 1 2 -1 10
9 Parma 6 2 3 1 +2 9
10 Spal 6 2 3 1 +1 9
11 Ascoli 6 2 2 2 -1 8
12 Cittadella 6 2 2 2 -2 8
13 Benevento 6 2 1 3 -1 7
14 Palermo 6 2 1 3 -2 7
15 Sudtirol 6 2 1 3 -4 7
16 Venezia 6 1 2 3 -4 5
17 Perugia 6 1 1 4 -5 4
18 Modena 6 1 0 5 -3 3
19 Como 7 0 3 4 -7 3
20 Pisa 6 0 2 4 -4 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Modena Reggina
Antonio Pergreffi 🟨
32′
33′
🟨 Niccolò Pierozzi
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 G. Loiacono
↦ N. Pierozzi
R. Giovannini 🔁
↦ D. Falcinelli
55′
D. Marsura 🔁
↦ L. Tremolada
55′
Fabio Gerli 🟨
56′
58′
🟨 Giuseppe Loiacono
60′
🟨 Riccardo Gagliolo
Marco Armellino 🟨
62′
62′
🔁 R. Rivas
↦ L. Canotto
63′
🔁 Hernani
↦ L. Crisetig
1–0 D. Diaw
D. Marsura
65′
66′
🔁 G. Gori
↦ G. Fabbian
N. Bonfanti 🔁
↦ D. Diaw
75′
S. De Maio 🔁
↦ F. Gerli
79′
S. Panada 🔁
↦ M. Coppolaro
80′
80′
🔁 F. Santander
↦ R. Gagliolo
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Modena

4-3-1-2
26 R. Gagno G
57 M. Coppolaro D
15 T. Silvestri D
4 A. Pergreffi D
27 Paulo Azzi D
21 M. Armellino M
16 F. Gerli M
6 L. Magnino M
10 L. Tremolada M
99 D. Diaw F
11 D. Falcinelli F
Bench (12)
19 R. Giovannini
17 D. Marsura
9 N. Bonfanti
28 S. De Maio
43 S. Panada
8 N. Mosti
33 F. Renzetti
96 S. Oukhadda
77 M. Piacentini
12 A. Seculin
7 E. Duca
3 F. Ponsi

Coach: A. Tesser

Reggina

4-3-3
22 S. Colombi G
27 N. Pierozzi D
3 T. Cionek D
28 R. Gagliolo D
17 G. Di Chiara D
14 G. Fabbian M
8 L. Crisetig M
37 Ž. Majer M
31 L. Canotto F
7 J. Ménez F
11 E. Cicerelli F
Bench (12)
6 G. Loiacono
99 R. Rivas
20 Hernani
9 G. Gori
19 F. Santander
1 F. Ravaglia
21 F. Ricci
94 D. Liotti
13 D. Bouah
25 A. Lombardi
23 M. Camporese
98 F. Giraudo

Coach: F. Inzaghi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,47
U
3,18
B
2,91
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,07
U2,5 ✓
1,74
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Marcenaro · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.