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Bundesliga
Referee: F Badstübner
RB Leipzig
T T S T T
4–0
Full-time
Bochum
T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

RB Leipzig Bochum
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
4,2
3,5
Scored
2,0
0,7
Conceded
2,2
2,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-2,2
This season — Bundesliga · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 15%
29%
0%
Points per game
1,1
0,1
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
71%
57%
Both score Ø 50%
43%
57%
Average goals
3,0
3,4
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
1,7
2,7
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

70% Possession 30%
17 Shots 2
9 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 2
2 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 8
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match RB Leipzig 12. · Bochum 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Union Berlin 7 5 2 0 +11 17
2 Bayern Munich 8 4 3 1 +17 15
3 Dortmund 7 5 0 2 +2 15
4 Freiburg 7 4 2 1 +5 14
5 Hoffenheim 7 4 1 2 +5 13
6 M'gladbach 7 3 3 1 +5 12
7 Ein Frankfurt 7 3 2 2 +1 11
8 Mainz 7 3 2 2 -3 11
9 FC Koln 7 2 4 1 +3 10
10 Werder Bremen 7 2 3 2 +1 9
11 Augsburg 7 3 0 4 -5 9
12 RB Leipzig 7 2 2 3 -3 8
13 Hertha 7 1 3 3 -2 6
14 Schalke 04 7 1 3 3 -6 6
15 Stuttgart 7 0 5 2 -3 5
16 Leverkusen 8 1 2 5 -7 5
17 Wolfsburg 7 1 2 4 -7 5
18 Bochum 7 0 1 6 -14 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

RB Leipzig Bochum
1–0 T. Werner
15′
19′
🟨 Danilo Soares
22′
🟨 Jannes Horn
2–0 C. Nkunku
23′
35′
🔁 E. Mašović
↦ Danilo Soares
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 C. Antwi-Adjei
↦ J. Horn
46′
🔁 K. Stöger
↦ J. Góralski
46′
🔁 P. Hofmann
↦ S. Zoller
3–0 T. Werner
53′
B. Henrichs 🔁
↦ M. Simakan
60′
D. Raum 🔁
↦ M. Halstenberg
73′
E. Forsberg 🔁
↦ D. Szoboszlai
73′
A. Haidara 🔁
↦ X. Schlager
73′
Hugo Novoa 🔁
↦ T. Werner
82′
4–0 C. Nkunku
E. Forsberg
85′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

RB Leipzig

4-2-3-1
1 P. Gulácsi G
2 M. Simakan D
4 W. Orbán D
32 J. Gvardiol D
23 M. Halstenberg D
24 X. Schlager M
44 K. Kampl M
17 D. Szoboszlai M
18 C. Nkunku M
11 T. Werner M
19 André Silva F
Bench (8)
39 B. Henrichs
22 D. Raum
10 E. Forsberg
8 A. Haidara
38 Hugo Novoa
25 S. Ba
21 J. Blaswich
37 A. Diallo

Coach: M. Rose

Bochum

3-1-4-2
1 M. Riemann G
14 T. Oermann D
20 I. Ordets D
38 J. Horn D
5 J. Góralski M
2 C. Gamboa M
8 A. Losilla M
6 P. Osterhage M
3 Danilo Soares M
9 S. Zoller F
17 G. Holtmann F
Bench (9)
4 E. Mašović
22 C. Antwi-Adjei
7 K. Stöger
33 P. Hofmann
35 S. Ganvoula
21 M. Esser
24 V. Lampropoulos
10 P. Förster
18 J. Osei-Tutu

Coach: T. Letsch

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,24
U
6,62
B
11,29
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,43
U2,5
2,85
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Badstübner · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.