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Premiership
Referee: D Dickinson
Kilmarnock
S T T U T
0–5
Full-time
Celtic
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kilmarnock Celtic
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,5
Scored
1,3
2,8
Conceded
1,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+2,2
This season — Premiership · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,5
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
0,5
2,5
Conceded
1,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+2,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

27% Possession 73%
12 Shots 20
3 Shots on target 11
5 Blocked shots 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 8
3 Offside 2
18 Free kicks against 11
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kilmarnock 11. · Celtic 2. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 3 3 0 0 +7 9
2 Celtic 2 2 0 0 +4 6
3 Motherwell 3 2 0 1 +1 6
4 Livingston 3 2 0 1 +1 6
5 Hearts 2 1 1 0 +1 4
6 Hibernian 3 1 1 1 +0 4
7 Aberdeen 3 1 0 2 +0 3
8 St Mirren 3 1 0 2 -3 3
9 ST Johnstone 3 1 0 2 -4 3
10 Dundee United 2 0 1 1 -1 1
11 Kilmarnock 2 0 1 1 -2 1
12 Ross County 3 0 0 3 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

2. Feb -21 Kilmarnock – Celtic 0–4 13. Dec -20 Celtic – Kilmarnock 2–0 9. Aug -20 Kilmarnock – Celtic 1–1 23. Feb -20 Celtic – Kilmarnock 3–1 22. Jan -20 Kilmarnock – Celtic 1–3

Match report

Kilmarnock Celtic
7′
⚽ K. Furuhashi 0–1
D. Maeda
Rory McKenzie 🟨
21′
35′
⚽ Jota 0–2
D. Maeda
C. Waters 🔁
↦ J. Dorsett
40′
Liam Donnelly 🟨
42′
Half-time 0–3
46′
⚽ M. Jenz 0–3
55′
🔁 C. Starfelt
↦ M. Jenz
Kyle Lafferty 🟨
60′
61′
🟨 Daizen Maeda
D. Armstrong 🔁
↦ F. Murray
62′
66′
🔁 L. Abada
↦ D. Maeda
66′
🔁 G. Giakoumakis
↦ K. Furuhashi
66′
🔁 A. Mooy
↦ D. Turnbull
76′
⚽ C. Starfelt 0–4
Danny Armstrong 🟨
78′
L. Polworth 🔁
↦ L. Donnelly
79′
I. Cameron 🔁
↦ K. Lafferty
79′
B. Lyons 🔁
↦ A. Power
80′
80′
🔁 J. Forrest
↦ Jota
82′
⚽ G. Giakoumakis 0–5
85′
🟨 Callum McGregor
Full-time 0–5

Line-ups

Kilmarnock

4-4-2
20 S. Walker G
25 R. Alebiosu D
5 A. Taylor D
2 L. Mayo D
3 J. Dorsett D
15 F. Murray M
4 A. Power M
22 L. Donnelly M
7 R. McKenzie M
28 K. Lafferty F
9 O. Shaw F
Bench (9)
18 C. Waters
11 D. Armstrong
31 L. Polworth
27 I. Cameron
17 B. Lyons
21 K. McInroy
23 A. Sotona
50 G. Woods
19 J. Wright

Coach: D. McInnes

Celtic

4-3-3
1 J. Hart G
88 J. Juranović D
20 C. Carter-Vickers D
6 M. Jenz D
3 G. Taylor D
33 M. O'Riley M
42 C. McGregor M
14 D. Turnbull M
17 Jota F
8 K. Furuhashi F
38 D. Maeda F
Bench (9)
4 C. Starfelt
11 L. Abada
7 G. Giakoumakis
13 A. Mooy
49 J. Forrest
25 A. Bernabei
31 B. Siegrist
16 J. McCarthy
56 A. Ralston

Coach: A. Postecoglou

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
13,55
🔒
U
6,64
🔒
B ✓
1,20
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,50
🔒
U2,5
2,51
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Dickinson · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.