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Premiership

Referee: B Madden

Aberdeen

S T S S S

1–0

Full-time

Kilmarnock

U U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aberdeen Kilmarnock

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,3

3,0

Scored

1,5

Conceded

0,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,0

This season — Premiership · 4/6 matches

Win Ø 46%

75%

17%

Points per game

2,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

25%

67%

Both score Ø 46%

25%

67%

Average goals

1,5

3,0

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

0,5

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%

13 Shots 7

3 Shots on target 1

5 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

10 Corners 10

1 Offside 4

8 Free kicks against 14

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aberdeen 4. · Kilmarnock 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rangers	6	5	1	0	+11	16
2	Hibernian	6	4	1	1	+5	13
3	Celtic	4	3	1	0	+8	10
4	Aberdeen	4	3	0	1	+2	9
5	Ross County	6	2	2	2	+0	8
6	St Mirren	5	2	1	2	-2	7
7	ST Johnstone	6	2	1	3	-3	7
8	Dundee United	6	2	1	3	-4	7
9	Kilmarnock	6	1	2	3	+0	5
10	Livingston	6	1	2	3	-4	5
11	Hamilton	5	1	0	4	-7	3
12	Motherwell	6	0	2	4	-6	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rangers	3	3	0	0	+8	9
2	Celtic	2	2	0	0	+7	6
3	Kilmarnock	3	1	1	1	+3	4
4	St Mirren	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Ross County	3	1	1	1	+0	4
6	Hibernian	3	1	1	1	+0	4
7	Livingston	3	1	1	1	-2	4
8	Aberdeen	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	ST Johnstone	3	1	0	2	-1	3
10	Motherwell	3	0	1	2	-2	1
11	Dundee United	3	0	1	2	-2	1
12	Hamilton	3	0	0	3	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hibernian	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Rangers	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Aberdeen	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Dundee United	3	2	0	1	-2	6
5	Celtic	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Ross County	3	1	1	1	+0	4
7	ST Johnstone	3	1	1	1	-2	4
8	Hamilton	2	1	0	1	-3	3
9	St Mirren	3	1	0	2	-3	3
10	Livingston	3	0	1	2	-2	1
11	Kilmarnock	3	0	1	2	-3	1
12	Motherwell	3	0	1	2	-4	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.