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Serie B

Referee: A Colombo

Spal

U S U S U

0–2

Full-time

Genoa

U S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Spal Genoa

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,2

2,0

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

1,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,3

This season — Serie B · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,2

2,0

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

1,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

47% Possession 53%

9 Shots 10

1 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 3

7 Offside 4

14 Free kicks against 16

3 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Spal 10. · Genoa 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Reggina	6	5	0	1	+12	15
2	Brescia	6	5	0	1	+4	15
3	Frosinone	6	4	0	2	+5	12
4	Bari	6	3	3	0	+4	12
5	Cosenza	7	3	2	2	+2	11
6	Genoa	6	3	2	1	+2	11
7	Cagliari	6	3	1	2	+2	10
8	Ternana	6	3	1	2	-1	10
9	Parma	6	2	3	1	+2	9
10	Spal	6	2	3	1	+1	9
11	Ascoli	6	2	2	2	-1	8
12	Cittadella	6	2	2	2	-2	8
13	Benevento	6	2	1	3	-1	7
14	Palermo	6	2	1	3	-2	7
15	Sudtirol	6	2	1	3	-4	7
16	Venezia	6	1	2	3	-4	5
17	Perugia	6	1	1	4	-5	4
18	Modena	6	1	0	5	-3	3
19	Como	7	0	3	4	-7	3
20	Pisa	6	0	2	4	-4	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Reggina	3	3	0	0	+10	9
2	Frosinone	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Brescia	3	3	0	0	+4	9
4	Cittadella	3	2	1	0	+2	7
5	Ternana	3	2	1	0	+2	7
6	Palermo	3	2	0	1	+2	6
7	Cosenza	3	2	0	1	+2	6
8	Spal	3	2	0	1	+1	6
9	Cagliari	3	2	0	1	+1	6
10	Genoa	3	1	2	0	+1	5
11	Ascoli	4	1	2	1	-1	5
12	Parma	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Sudtirol	3	1	1	1	+0	4
14	Perugia	3	1	1	1	-1	4
15	Modena	3	1	0	2	+0	3
16	Benevento	3	1	0	2	-2	3
17	Bari	2	0	2	0	+0	2
18	Como	4	0	2	2	-3	2
19	Pisa	3	0	1	2	-2	1
20	Venezia	3	0	1	2	-3	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bari	4	3	1	0	+4	10
2	Reggina	3	2	0	1	+2	6
3	Genoa	3	2	0	1	+1	6
4	Brescia	3	2	0	1	+0	6
5	Parma	3	1	2	0	+2	5
6	Cosenza	4	1	2	1	+0	5
7	Cagliari	3	1	1	1	+1	4
8	Benevento	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	Venezia	3	1	1	1	-1	4
10	Spal	3	0	3	0	+0	3
11	Ascoli	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Frosinone	3	1	0	2	-1	3
13	Ternana	3	1	0	2	-3	3
14	Sudtirol	3	1	0	2	-4	3
15	Pisa	3	0	1	2	-2	1
16	Como	3	0	1	2	-4	1
17	Cittadella	3	0	1	2	-4	1
18	Palermo	3	0	1	2	-4	1
19	Modena	3	0	0	3	-3	0
20	Perugia	3	0	0	3	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.