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Premiership
Referee: J Beaton
Hibernian
S U T U T
1–0
Full-time
Kilmarnock
U T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hibernian Kilmarnock
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,5
0,7
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,3
This season — Premiership · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 20%
20%
20%
Points per game
1,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
40%
40%
Both score Ø 50%
60%
40%
Average goals
2,2
2,6
Scored
1,0
0,6
Conceded
1,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

57% Possession 43%
25 Shots 7
8 Shots on target 1
7 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 7
7 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Hibernian 8. · Kilmarnock 9. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 6 6 0 0 +24 18
2 Rangers 6 4 1 1 +7 13
3 Hearts 5 3 1 1 +3 10
4 Aberdeen 5 3 0 2 +6 9
5 Motherwell 5 3 0 2 +1 9
6 St Mirren 5 3 0 2 +1 9
7 Livingston 5 2 0 3 -5 6
8 Hibernian 5 1 2 2 -1 5
9 Kilmarnock 5 1 1 3 -7 4
10 ST Johnstone 5 1 0 4 -6 3
11 Ross County 5 1 0 4 -7 3
12 Dundee United 5 0 1 4 -16 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

16. Jan -21 Hibernian – Kilmarnock 2–0 24. Oct -20 Kilmarnock – Hibernian 0–1 1. Aug -20 Hibernian – Kilmarnock 2–1 16. Feb -20 Kilmarnock – Hibernian 1–2 30. Nov -19 Hibernian – Kilmarnock 2–2

Match report

Hibernian Kilmarnock
11′
🟥 Ash Taylor
1–0 J. Newell ⚽
12′
18′
🟨 Alan Power
Half-time 1–0
H. McKirdy 🔁
↦ E. Henderson
51′
L. Stevenson 🔁
↦ M. Čabraja
66′
J. Doyle-Hayes 🔁
↦ J. Campbell
66′
67′
🔁 K. Lafferty
↦ I. Cameron
67′
🔁 F. Murray
↦ O. Shaw
73′
🔁 D. Sotona
↦ D. Armstrong
73′
🔁 B. Lyons
↦ R. Alebiosu
Martin Boyle 🟨
74′
Ryan Porteous 🟨
77′
77′
🟨 Kyle Lafferty
86′
🔁 R. McKenzie
↦ A. Power
M. Bojang 🔁
↦ É. Youan
90′
91′
🟨 Rory McKenzie
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Hibernian

4-2-3-1
1 D. Marshall G
12 C. Cadden D
5 R. Porteous D
4 P. Hanlon D
3 M. Čabraja D
11 J. Newell M
6 N. Kenneh M
77 M. Boyle M
32 J. Campbell M
18 E. Henderson M
23 É. Youan F
Bench (9)
22 H. McKirdy
16 L. Stevenson
8 J. Doyle-Hayes
17 M. Bojang
2 L. Miller
24 D. McGregor
13 R. Schofield
25 W. Fish
10 Jair Tavares

Coach: L. Johnson

Kilmarnock

3-4-2-1
20 S. Walker G
19 J. Wright D
5 A. Taylor D
2 L. Mayo D
25 R. Alebiosu M
31 L. Polworth M
4 A. Power M
33 B. Chrisene M
11 D. Armstrong F
9 O. Shaw F
27 I. Cameron F
Bench (9)
28 K. Lafferty
15 F. Murray
23 D. Sotona
17 B. Lyons
7 R. McKenzie
50 G. Woods
14 J. Sanders
21 K. McInroy
6 C. Stokes

Coach: D. McInnes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,68
🔒
U
3,69
🔒
B
5,11
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
2,04
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,76
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Beaton · 161 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.