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Premiership
Referee: C Napier
St Mirren
S S S T S
2–1
Full-time
Livingston
S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Mirren Livingston
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 17%
17%
17%
Average goals
2,5
2,0
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,3
This season — Premiership · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 57%
57%
57%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
43%
43%
Both score Ø 22%
14%
29%
Average goals
2,3
2,1
Scored
1,1
0,9
Conceded
1,1
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

41% Possession 59%
8 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 7
3 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Mirren 4. · Livingston 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 8 6 1 1 +12 19
2 Celtic 7 6 0 1 +22 18
3 Hearts 8 4 1 3 +1 13
4 St Mirren 7 4 0 3 +0 12
5 Livingston 7 4 0 3 -3 12
6 Hibernian 7 3 2 2 +2 11
7 Aberdeen 7 3 1 3 +4 10
8 Motherwell 7 3 1 3 -2 10
9 ST Johnstone 7 2 1 4 -3 7
10 Ross County 7 1 2 4 -7 5
11 Kilmarnock 7 1 1 5 -9 4
12 Dundee United 7 0 2 5 -17 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Mirren Livingston
Half-time 0–0
Declan Gallagher 🟨
54′
A. Greive 🔁
↦ G. Kiltie
59′
R. Strain 🔁
↦ A. Gogić
60′
R. Flynn 🔁
↦ R. Strain
67′
1–0 K. Baccus
R. Flynn
69′
Keanu Baccus 🟨
72′
72′
🔁 B. Anderson
↦ J. Penrice
72′
🔁 S. Kelly
↦ S. Oméonga
J. Shaughnessy 🔁
↦ K. Baccus
75′
Jonah Ayunga 🟥
76′
81′
🟨 Dylan Bahamboula
81′
🔁 A. Shinnie
↦ S. Kelly
86′
B. Anderson 1–1
J. Nouble
Ryan Flynn 🟨
90′
2–1 A. Greive
J. Shaughnessy
90′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

St Mirren

5-3-2
1 T. Carson G
22 M. Fraser D
13 A. Gogić D
31 D. Gallagher D
18 C. Dunne D
3 S. Tanser D
17 K. Baccus M
16 E. Erhahon M
6 M. O'Hara M
11 G. Kiltie F
7 J. Ayunga F
Bench (9)
21 A. Greive
23 R. Strain
8 R. Flynn
4 J. Shaughnessy
30 F. Taylor
32 L. Kenny
12 J. Henderson
15 D. Reid
27 P. Urminský

Coach: S. Robinson

Livingston

3-5-2
1 S. George G
2 N. Devlin D
6 A. Obileye D
24 S. Kelly D
7 D. Bahamboula M
33 S. Oméonga M
8 S. Pittman M
18 J. Holt M
29 J. Penrice M
19 J. Nouble F
28 K. Guthrie F
Bench (9)
9 B. Anderson
17 S. Kelly
22 A. Shinnie
3 J. Longridge
31 I. Konovalov
12 J. Brandon
25 P. Čančar
32 J. Hamilton
15 M. Boyes

Coach: D. Martindale

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,30
U
3,17
B
3,23
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,28
U2,5
1,61
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

C Napier · 40 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.