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Championship

Referee: G Ward

Cardiff

U T T S T

1–1

Full-time

Burnley

S S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cardiff Burnley

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,7

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,2

2,7

Scored

0,7

2,0

Conceded

1,5

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+1,3

This season — Championship · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 35%

30%

40%

Points per game

1,1

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 30%

30%

Both score Ø 50%

30%

70%

Average goals

1,8

2,7

Scored

0,7

1,7

Conceded

1,1

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

41% Possession 59%

12 Shots 8

4 Shots on target 2

5 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

9 Corners 1

3 Offside 5

9 Free kicks against 5

3 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Cardiff 18. · Burnley 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sheffield United	10	7	2	1	+14	23
2	Norwich	10	6	2	2	+7	20
3	Reading	10	6	0	4	-4	18
4	Burnley	10	4	5	1	+7	17
5	Luton	11	4	4	3	+3	16
6	Sunderland	10	4	3	3	+5	15
7	QPR	10	4	3	3	+3	15
8	Blackburn	10	5	0	5	-2	15
9	Rotherham	9	3	5	1	+6	14
10	Bristol City	10	4	2	4	+3	14
11	Watford	10	3	5	2	+0	14
12	Wigan	9	3	4	2	-2	13
13	Millwall	10	4	1	5	-3	13
14	Stoke	10	3	3	4	+0	12
15	Preston	10	2	6	2	-1	12
16	Swansea	10	3	3	4	-2	12
17	Birmingham	10	3	3	4	-2	12
18	Cardiff	10	3	2	5	-4	11
19	Blackpool	10	3	2	5	-5	11
20	Hull	11	3	2	6	-12	11
21	West Brom	10	1	7	2	+1	10
22	Middlesbrough	10	2	4	4	-2	10
23	Huddersfield	9	2	1	6	-4	7
24	Coventry	7	0	3	4	-6	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Norwich	6	4	2	0	+7	14
2	Sheffield United	4	4	0	0	+10	12
3	Millwall	6	4	0	2	+3	12
4	Reading	5	4	0	1	+3	12
5	Rotherham	5	3	2	0	+9	11
6	Watford	5	3	1	1	+2	10
7	Bristol City	4	3	0	1	+5	9
8	Burnley	5	2	3	0	+3	9
9	Blackburn	5	3	0	2	+2	9
10	Middlesbrough	6	2	3	1	+1	9
11	Hull	6	3	0	3	-4	9
12	QPR	5	2	2	1	+2	8
13	Cardiff	4	2	1	1	+1	7
14	Huddersfield	6	2	1	3	+0	7
15	Swansea	6	2	1	3	-2	7
16	West Brom	5	1	3	1	+2	6
17	Luton	6	1	3	2	+0	6
18	Sunderland	4	1	2	1	+2	5
19	Stoke	4	1	2	1	+1	5
20	Birmingham	5	1	2	2	-1	5
21	Blackpool	4	1	1	2	-1	4
22	Preston	6	0	4	2	-3	4
23	Wigan	5	0	3	2	-5	3
24	Coventry	1	0	0	1	-1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sheffield United	6	3	2	1	+4	11
2	Sunderland	6	3	1	2	+3	10
3	Luton	5	3	1	1	+3	10
4	Wigan	4	3	1	0	+3	10
5	Burnley	5	2	2	1	+4	8
6	Preston	4	2	2	0	+2	8
7	QPR	5	2	1	2	+1	7
8	Stoke	6	2	1	3	-1	7
9	Birmingham	5	2	1	2	-1	7
10	Blackpool	6	2	1	3	-4	7
11	Norwich	4	2	0	2	+0	6
12	Blackburn	5	2	0	3	-4	6
13	Reading	5	2	0	3	-7	6
14	Swansea	4	1	2	1	+0	5
15	Bristol City	6	1	2	3	-2	5
16	West Brom	5	0	4	1	-1	4
17	Watford	5	0	4	1	-2	4
18	Cardiff	6	1	1	4	-5	4
19	Rotherham	4	0	3	1	-3	3
20	Coventry	6	0	3	3	-5	3
21	Hull	5	0	2	3	-8	2
22	Middlesbrough	4	0	1	3	-3	1
23	Millwall	4	0	1	3	-6	1
24	Huddersfield	3	0	0	3	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.