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Serie B
Referee: A Santoro
Cittadella
T U U S T
0–2
Full-time
Ternana
S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cittadella Ternana
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,2
This season — Serie B · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

53% Possession 47%
13 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 5
0 Offside 1
24 Free kicks against 12
6 Yellow cards 7
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cittadella 12. · Ternana 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Reggina 6 5 0 1 +12 15
2 Brescia 6 5 0 1 +4 15
3 Frosinone 6 4 0 2 +5 12
4 Bari 6 3 3 0 +4 12
5 Cosenza 7 3 2 2 +2 11
6 Genoa 6 3 2 1 +2 11
7 Cagliari 6 3 1 2 +2 10
8 Ternana 6 3 1 2 -1 10
9 Parma 6 2 3 1 +2 9
10 Spal 6 2 3 1 +1 9
11 Ascoli 6 2 2 2 -1 8
12 Cittadella 6 2 2 2 -2 8
13 Benevento 6 2 1 3 -1 7
14 Palermo 6 2 1 3 -2 7
15 Sudtirol 6 2 1 3 -4 7
16 Venezia 6 1 2 3 -4 5
17 Perugia 6 1 1 4 -5 4
18 Modena 6 1 0 5 -3 3
19 Como 7 0 3 4 -7 3
20 Pisa 6 0 2 4 -4 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cittadella Ternana
30′
🟨 Marco Capuano
Elhan Kastrati 🟨
34′
34′
A. Palumbo 0–1
D. Agazzi
Half-time 0–1
I. Lores 🔁
↦ M. Antonucci
46′
46′
🔁 S. Diakité
↦ M. Capuano
46′
🔁 A. Donnarumma
↦ A. Favilli
Domenico Frare 🟨
47′
Daniele Donnarumma 🟨
58′
A. Magrassi 🔁
↦ Mamadou Tounkara
59′
T. Cassandro 🔁
↦ A. Mattioli
66′
D. Mazzocco 🔁
↦ A. Vita
66′
67′
🟨 Salim Diakite
Simone Branca 🟨
72′
75′
🔁 F. Cassata
↦ D. Agazzi
Santiago Visentin 🟨
76′
Carlos Embaló 🔁
↦ N. Pavan
76′
77′
🟨 Antonio Palumbo
80′
🔁 A. Celli
↦ N. Corrado
Carlos Embalo 🟨
84′
85′
🟨 Frederik Sørensen
86′
🔁 L. Ghiringhelli
↦ A. Palumbo
87′
🟨 Alessandro Celli
91′
🟨 Anthony Partipilo
94′
M. Coulibaly 0–2
A. Donnarumma
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Cittadella

4-3-1-2
36 E. Kastrati G
18 A. Mattioli D
6 S. Visentin D
15 D. Frare D
17 D. Donnarumma D
16 A. Vita M
26 N. Pavan M
23 S. Branca M
10 M. Antonucci M
11 G. Beretta F
9 Mamadou Tounkara F
Bench (12)
30 I. Lores
99 A. Magrassi
84 T. Cassandro
8 D. Mazzocco
7 Carlos Embaló
90 Raúl Asencio
20 G. Carriero
2 R. Perticone
5 D. Del Fabro
19 V. Ciriello
77 L. Maniero
72 A. Danzi

Coach: E. Gorini

Ternana

4-3-2-1
1 A. Iannarilli G
13 V. Mantovani D
4 F. Sørensen D
19 M. Capuano D
91 N. Corrado D
34 D. Agazzi M
14 F. Di Tacchio M
2 M. Coulibaly M
21 A. Partipilo M
5 A. Palumbo M
17 A. Favilli F
Bench (12)
23 S. Diakité
9 A. Donnarumma
29 F. Cassata
30 A. Celli
24 L. Ghiringhelli
8 M. Proietti
87 B. Martella
18 Raul Moro
12 T. Krapikas
20 F. Paghera
25 M. Defendi
16 P. Rovaglia

Coach: C. Lucarelli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,12
U
3,30
B ✓
3,46
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,96
U2,5 ✓
1,83
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Santoro · 51 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.