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Ekstraklasa

Referee: S Marciniak

Pogon Szczecin

S T S U U

2–1

Full-time

Lechia Gdansk

T T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pogon Szczecin Lechia Gdansk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,5

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,8

3,0

Scored

1,7

0,8

Conceded

1,2

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-1,3

This season — Ekstraklasa · 10/9 matches

Win Ø 31%

50%

11%

Points per game

1,8

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 74%

70%

78%

Both score Ø 63%

70%

56%

Average goals

2,7

3,0

Scored

1,6

0,9

Conceded

1,1

2,1

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-1,2

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

59% Possession 41%

21 Shots 7

9 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 7

9 Corners 4

1 Offside 3

16 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Pogon Szczecin 4. · Lechia Gdansk 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Legia	11	6	3	2	+1	21
2	Wisla Plock	11	6	2	3	+10	20
3	Rakow	9	6	1	2	+9	19
4	Pogon Szczecin	10	5	3	2	+5	18
5	Cracovia	11	5	2	4	+5	17
6	Widzew Lodz	10	5	1	4	+4	16
7	Zaglebie	11	4	4	3	-2	16
8	Lech Poznan	10	4	3	3	+2	15
9	Radomiak Radom	11	4	2	5	-4	14
10	Jagiellonia	10	3	4	3	+3	13
11	Gornik Zabrze	10	3	4	3	+0	13
12	Slask Wroclaw	10	3	4	3	-4	13
13	Stal Mielec	10	4	1	5	-5	13
14	Korona Kielce	10	3	2	5	-1	11
15	Piast Gliwice	10	3	2	5	-1	11
16	Warta Poznan	10	3	2	5	-4	11
17	Legnica	9	1	2	6	-7	5
18	Lechia Gdansk	9	1	2	6	-11	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	6	5	1	0	+10	16
2	Wisla Plock	5	4	1	0	+8	13
3	Legia	5	4	1	0	+6	13
4	Pogon Szczecin	5	3	2	0	+5	11
5	Cracovia	6	3	1	2	+5	10
6	Jagiellonia	5	3	0	2	+4	9
7	Slask Wroclaw	5	2	2	1	-1	8
8	Piast Gliwice	4	2	1	1	+4	7
9	Stal Mielec	5	2	1	2	+0	7
10	Radomiak Radom	6	2	1	3	-2	7
11	Lech Poznan	6	2	1	3	-2	7
12	Widzew Lodz	4	2	0	2	+1	6
13	Zaglebie	5	1	3	1	+0	6
14	Gornik Zabrze	6	1	2	3	-4	5
15	Korona Kielce	5	1	1	3	-1	4
16	Legnica	4	1	1	2	-1	4
17	Lechia Gdansk	4	0	2	2	-4	2
18	Warta Poznan	5	0	1	4	-7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Widzew Lodz	6	3	1	2	+3	10
2	Warta Poznan	5	3	1	1	+3	10
3	Zaglebie	6	3	1	2	-2	10
4	Gornik Zabrze	4	2	2	0	+4	8
5	Lech Poznan	4	2	2	0	+4	8
6	Legia	6	2	2	2	-5	8
7	Wisla Plock	6	2	1	3	+2	7
8	Korona Kielce	5	2	1	2	+0	7
9	Pogon Szczecin	5	2	1	2	+0	7
10	Cracovia	5	2	1	2	+0	7
11	Radomiak Radom	5	2	1	2	-2	7
12	Stal Mielec	5	2	0	3	-5	6
13	Slask Wroclaw	5	1	2	2	-3	5
14	Jagiellonia	5	0	4	1	-1	4
15	Piast Gliwice	6	1	1	4	-5	4
16	Rakow	3	1	0	2	-1	3
17	Lechia Gdansk	5	1	0	4	-7	3
18	Legnica	5	0	1	4	-6	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.