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Championship
Referee: D Bond
1–1
Full-time
Birmingham
T T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sheffield United Birmingham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
2,2
0,8
Conceded
0,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+2,0
-0,3
This season — Championship · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 50%
70%
30%
Points per game
2,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 35%
40%
30%
Both score Ø 35%
30%
40%
Average goals
2,4
1,8
Scored
1,9
0,8
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,4
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

60% Possession 40%
13 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 4
2 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sheffield United 1. · Birmingham 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sheffield United 10 7 2 1 +14 23
2 Norwich 10 6 2 2 +7 20
3 Reading 10 6 0 4 -4 18
4 Burnley 10 4 5 1 +7 17
5 Luton 11 4 4 3 +3 16
6 Sunderland 10 4 3 3 +5 15
7 QPR 10 4 3 3 +3 15
8 Blackburn 10 5 0 5 -2 15
9 Rotherham 9 3 5 1 +6 14
10 Bristol City 10 4 2 4 +3 14
11 Watford 10 3 5 2 +0 14
12 Wigan 9 3 4 2 -2 13
13 Millwall 10 4 1 5 -3 13
14 Stoke 10 3 3 4 +0 12
15 Preston 10 2 6 2 -1 12
16 Swansea 10 3 3 4 -2 12
17 Birmingham 10 3 3 4 -2 12
18 Cardiff 10 3 2 5 -4 11
19 Blackpool 10 3 2 5 -5 11
20 Hull 11 3 2 6 -12 11
21 West Brom 10 1 7 2 +1 10
22 Middlesbrough 10 2 4 4 -2 10
23 Huddersfield 9 2 1 6 -4 7
24 Coventry 7 0 3 4 -6 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sheffield United Birmingham
21′
🟨 Emmanuel Longelo
Half-time 0–0
Oliver McBurnie 🟨
52′
52′
🟨 Krystian Bielik
R. Brewster 🔁
↦ T. Doyle
64′
J. Bogle 🔁
↦ R. Khadra
64′
1–0 O. McBurnie
64′
65′
🔁 H. Mejbri
↦ J. Bacuna
B. Sharp 🔁
↦ O. McBurnie
69′
70′
T. Deeney 1–1
T. Chong
Oliver Norwood 🟨
76′
81′
🔁 G. Hall
↦ T. Chong
85′
🟨 Hannibal Mejbri
90′
🔁 L. Jutkiewicz
↦ S. Hogan
J. McAtee 🔁
↦ I. Ndiaye
91′
91′
🔁 J. Bellingham
↦ T. Deeney
Jayden Bogle 🟨
93′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Sheffield United

3-5-2
18 W. Foderingham G
6 C. Basham D
12 J. Egan D
33 R. Norrington-Davies D
2 G. Baldock M
8 S. Berge M
16 O. Norwood M
22 T. Doyle M
11 R. Khadra M
29 I. Ndiaye F
9 O. McBurnie F
Bench (7)
7 R. Brewster
20 J. Bogle
10 B. Sharp
28 J. McAtee
30 O. Arblaster
1 A. Davies
34 K. Gordon

Coach: P. Heckingbottom

Birmingham

5-3-2
21 J. Ruddy G
11 J. Graham D
2 M. Colin D
28 D. Sanderson D
5 A. Trusty D
23 M. Emmanuel D
7 J. Bacuna M
31 K. Bielik M
18 T. Chong M
8 T. Deeney F
9 S. Hogan F
Bench (7)
6 H. Mejbri
35 G. Hall
27 J. Bellingham
10 L. Jutkiewicz
19 J. James
14 J. Leko
1 N. Etheridge

Coach: J. Eustace

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,44
U ✓
4,56
B
7,21
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,81
U2,5 ✓
1,99
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Bond · 157 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.