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Premiership

Referee: D Robertson

Aberdeen

U T T U T

1–0

Full-time

Kilmarnock

T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aberdeen Kilmarnock

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,5

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

33%

Both score Ø 9%

17%

Average goals

0,8

2,5

Scored

0,0

0,3

Conceded

0,8

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-1,8

This season — Premiership · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 33%

41%

24%

Points per game

1,6

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

34%

Both score Ø 33%

31%

34%

Average goals

2,1

2,3

Scored

1,1

0,9

Conceded

1,0

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

43% Possession 57%

10 Shots 8

4 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 3

3 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aberdeen 4. · Kilmarnock 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rangers	29	25	4	0	+61	79
2	Celtic	29	19	7	3	+42	64
3	Hibernian	28	14	7	7	+13	49
4	Aberdeen	29	12	9	8	+2	45
5	Livingston	28	11	6	11	+1	39
6	St Mirren	28	9	7	12	-6	34
7	Dundee United	29	8	10	11	-12	34
8	ST Johnstone	29	7	9	13	-11	30
9	Motherwell	28	7	7	14	-17	28
10	Kilmarnock	29	7	3	19	-15	24
11	Hamilton	28	6	6	16	-26	24
12	Ross County	28	6	5	17	-32	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rangers	14	14	0	0	+39	42
2	Celtic	15	10	3	2	+19	33
3	Aberdeen	15	8	3	4	+5	27
4	Hibernian	14	5	5	4	+0	20
5	Dundee United	15	5	4	6	-2	19
6	Livingston	14	5	3	6	-1	18
7	Kilmarnock	14	4	2	8	-3	14
8	St Mirren	14	3	5	6	-8	14
9	ST Johnstone	14	3	4	7	-7	13
10	Motherwell	14	3	3	8	-12	12
11	Hamilton	14	2	4	8	-12	10
12	Ross County	14	2	4	8	-16	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rangers	15	11	4	0	+22	37
2	Celtic	14	9	4	1	+23	31
3	Hibernian	14	9	2	3	+13	29
4	Livingston	14	6	3	5	+2	21
5	St Mirren	14	6	2	6	+2	20
6	Aberdeen	14	4	6	4	-3	18
7	ST Johnstone	15	4	5	6	-4	17
8	Motherwell	14	4	4	6	-5	16
9	Dundee United	14	3	6	5	-10	15
10	Hamilton	14	4	2	8	-14	14
11	Ross County	14	4	1	9	-16	13
12	Kilmarnock	15	3	1	11	-12	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.